- The Brewers are -185 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Brewers TV Channel: MARQ | BSWI
The Chicago Cubs (+155) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-190) on Sunday, June 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cubs are 39-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 44-39 ATS.
Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 1-5, 6.95 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 5-4, 4.07 ERA
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -105 | +155 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +115 | U 8 -115 | -190 |
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+14.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 12 games at home (+16.00 Units / 133% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 58 games (+14.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 72 games (+12.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games (+9.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 83 games (+13.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 83 games (+10.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+10.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 79 games (+9.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+7.85 Units / 25% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 40-44 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -11.55% ROI).
- 39-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -7.3% ROI
- 35-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.4 Units / -16.68% ROI
- 46-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.65 Units / 8.27% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 44-39 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 1.94% ROI).
- 49-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.35 Units / 13.01% ROI
- 44-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.2 Units / 7.93% ROI
- 34-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.4 Units / -15.68% ROI
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Joey Ortiz (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Hendricks (CHC) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -125 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 61% of the time (519/849) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.2 MPH in the 2023 season (449 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2
Kyle Hendricks has located his pitches away 70% of the time (1,097/1,563) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 58% (300/513) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 55% (112 SO in 202 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (55/150) against Freddy Peralta with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .422 (19-for-45) against Freddy Peralta on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .333 — 10th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are just 17-35 (.327) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Cubs are 14-3 (.824) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .635.
The Cubs are just 5-177 (.027) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Cubs are just 106-9 (.922) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 31-60 (.341) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Brewers are 34-15 (.694) after a home loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Brewers are 33-27 (.550) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Brewers are just 2-93 (.021) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .164 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .261 (5,101 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Cubs are batting .517 in hitter’s counts over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .348.
The Cubs are batting .291 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 10 extra-base hits out of 65 total hits (just 15%) against LHP this month (24 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Brewers hitters have 27 extra-base hits out of 102 total hits (just 27%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Brewers are batting just .235 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 38 double plays in 610 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.75 (1082.0 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Brewers pitchers have 103 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th fewest in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.74 (2178.0 IP) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Cubs vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
