- The Brewers are -125 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Brewers TV Channel: MARQ | BSWI | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on Thursday, May 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cubs are 28-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 30-25 ATS.
Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 3-2, 2.59 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 4-2, 3.98 ERA
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -115 | +105 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -105 | -125 |
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 away games (+17.10 Units / 86% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 44 games (+16.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+14.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+11.65 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+24.00 Units / 600% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 50 games (+11.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+11.30 Units / 113% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 49 games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 away games (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 55 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 55 games (+8.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+8.34 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 29-27 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -5.25% ROI).
- 28-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 1.12% ROI
- 24-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -16.6% ROI
- 31-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 7.48% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 30-25 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 2.23% ROI).
- 32-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 13.34% ROI
- 31-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 9.91% ROI
- 23-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -17.95% ROI
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mike Tauchman (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Colin Rea (MIL) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (3/43) against Jameson Taillon over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 12 of 413 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 11% of batters they faced (47/413 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of 70% (1,048/1,491) against right-handed batters since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea has allowed an OPS of .957 (90 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .669 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (74/386) against Colin Rea this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 17% (15 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (46 Total Bases / 81 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — third Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are 27-23 (.540) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Cubs are just 5-83 (.057) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Cubs are just 40-41 (.494) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 29-54 (.349) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Brewers are 43-99 (.303) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Brewers are 33-28 (.541) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Brewers are 26-17 (.605) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .429.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .459 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .369.
26% of Cubs hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .275 over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .556 (290 PA’s) against LHP this month (23 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.02 pitches per plate appearance since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .335 (1,677 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Brewers hitters have 908 strikeouts in 3,692 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Brewers are batting just .233 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 24 double plays in 413 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have 90 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th most in MLB.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Cubs vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
