Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 11

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 11, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Dodgers are -175 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Cubs vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Cubs / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | MARQ

The Chicago Cubs (+145) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Cubs are 75-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 71-74 ATS.

Cubs vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Jordan Wicks 2-3, 3.96 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Bobby Miller 2-4, 7.85 ERA

Cubs vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -145O 9 -120+145
Dodgers -1.5 +120U 9 +100-175

Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+20.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 49 games (+17.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+16.05 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+13.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 43 games (+20.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+14.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Miguel Rojas has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Bobby Miller has hit the Earned Runs Over in his last 10 games (+11.20 Units / 95% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 58 games (+14.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 34 away games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+14.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+7.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 65 games at home (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 72-73 against the Run Line (-13.9 Units / -7.06% ROI).

  • 75-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 2.16% ROI
  • 67-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -8.5% ROI
  • 73-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -0.31% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 71-74 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -4.01% ROI).

  • 86-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.05 Units / -4.44% ROI
  • 77-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.65 Units / 4.18% ROI
  • 64-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.85 Units / -13.02% ROI

Dodgers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Ian Happ (CHC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Dodgers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Tommy Edman (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Dodgers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Cody Bellinger (CHC) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225

Dodgers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Wicks (CHC) 3.5 +100 3.5 -130
Bobby Miller (LAD) 5.5 +105 5.5 -140

Jordan Wicks has not struck out any hitters in 20 PA’s against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.

Jordan Wicks has a strikeout rate of just 20% (4 SO in 20 PAs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.

Jordan Wicks has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — ninth Percentile.

Jordan Wicks has a strikeout rate of just 10% (4 SO in 40 PAs) this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bobby Miller has allowed at least one HR in each of his last 10 games dating back to April 5th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 98.5 MPH since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 93.7 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .122 (14-for-115) against Bobby Miller’s changeup since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Bobby Miller has averaged 98.5 MPH on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Cubs are 28-7 (.800) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Cubs are just 55-49 (.529) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.

The Cubs are 22-12 (.647) after a home loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Cubs are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Dodgers are 259-48 (.844) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Dodgers are 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 159-28 (.850) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.

The Dodgers are 57-28 (.671) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .465.

The Cubs are batting .361 on the road this month (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.

The Cubs are batting .287 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .300 (2,543 PA’s) at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 167 double plays in 2,145 opportunities (8%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .783 (13,041 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (13,041 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .783 (8,532 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .446 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 69 double plays in 1,003 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 111 of 1,286 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Cubs have allowed 3.52 runs per game (250/71) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,295 of 17,293 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
  • Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.