- The Cubs are -120 favorites vs the Guardians
- Cubs vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | MARQ
The Chicago Cubs (-120) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+100) on Monday, August 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Cubs are 59-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 58-60 ATS.
Cubs vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 9-2, 3.08 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 10-7, 3.60 ERA
Cubs vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -115 | -120 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -175 | U 8 -105 | +100 |
Cubs vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 48 games (+30.40 Units / 63% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 40 games (+22.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+19.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 45 games (+17.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Shota Imanaga has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games at home (+51.50 Units / 215% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 42 games (+13.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+9.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.45 Units / 48% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 107 games (+10.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+9.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 38% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 118 games (+12.47 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 54 games at home (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 51 games at home (+3.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 58-61 against the Run Line (-15.35 Units / -9.31% ROI).
- 59-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -0.97% ROI
- 52-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.3 Units / -13.19% ROI
- 63-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +6 Units / 4.59% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 58-60 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -0.58% ROI).
- 69-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.47 Units / 8.24% ROI
- 57-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -1.99% ROI
- 54-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.6 Units / -6.65% ROI
Guardians vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Guardians vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Guardians vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Guardians vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Lively (CLE) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -155 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shota Imanaga has walked 5 of 185 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 56% of Shota Imanaga’s pitches (1,037/1,841) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 49% (155/318) against Shota Imanaga with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 52% (669/1,288) against Shota Imanaga in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
12 of Ben Lively’s 32 breaking pitch strikeouts (38%) have been backdoor this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .062 (1-for-16) against Ben Lively when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (20/128) against Ben Lively on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 41% of Ben Lively’s pitches (75/183) this month (2 games) — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Cubs are just 8-106 (.070) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Cubs are 21-7 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Cubs are just 50-49 (.505) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Cubs are just 13-175 (.069) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Guardians are 20-22 (.476) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Guardians are just 2-42 (.045) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Guardians are 59-9 (.868) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Guardians are 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .278 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Cubs are batting .263 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cubs hitters are slugging .714 against LHP this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .435.
Cubs hitters have drawn 1 walk in 51 PA’s (2%) against LHP this month (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .276 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
Guardians hitters have just 2,175 strikeouts in 11,840 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s since last season (383/10,459) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 92 of 1,055 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 53 double plays in 848 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .226 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Guardians have allowed 0.85 runs per game (100/118) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Guardians vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Shane Bieber (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Cubs vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
