- The Cubs are -145 favorites vs the Mariners
- Cubs vs Mariners Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Mariners TV Channel: MARQ | RTNW | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (-145) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+120) on Saturday, April 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Cubs are 7-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 4-9 ATS.
Cubs vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 1-1, 11.89 ERA
Cubs vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -115 | -145 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -150 | U 8 -105 | +120 |
Cubs vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 62.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+15.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+14.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+12.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kyle Hendricks has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+7.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.05 Units / 25% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 8-4 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 14.57% ROI).
- 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 18.83% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 27.82% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -35.11% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 4-9 against the Run Line (-7.25 Units / -39.62% ROI).
- 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -28.57% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -17.44% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 9.59% ROI
Mariners vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Mariners vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Mariners vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 9% (2/23) against Shota Imanaga this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed an OBP of just .114 (35 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .315 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 44% (27/61) against Shota Imanaga this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 59% of Shota Imanaga’s pitches (80/135) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Emerson Hancock has thrown low pitches 70% of the time (31/44) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .318 (7-for-22) against Emerson Hancock with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .166 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (3/15) against Emerson Hancock in two-strike counts this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Emerson Hancock has allowed a slugging percentage of .692 (27 Total Bases / 39 ABs) this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .397 — fourth Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Cubs are just 8-13 (.381) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Cubs were just 10-22 (.312) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Cubs are 20-18 (.526) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Cubs are 52-29 (.642) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .591.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Mariners are 45-7 (.865) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Mariners are 143-6 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Mariners are 137-12 (.919) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
The Mariners were 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .457 (35 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Cubs hitters are slugging .474 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .371.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .787 (1,804 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .796 (87 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .689.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have 118 strikeouts in 377 PA’s (31%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .578 (377 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mariners are batting just .228 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 15 of 114 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 458 of 6,536 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers walked 97 of 1,455 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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