- The Mets are -130 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cubs / Mets TV Channel: SNY | MARQ | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-130) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Cubs are 18-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 14-14 ATS.
Cubs vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 2-0, 2.00 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 1-1, 3.38 ERA
Cubs vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -120 | +110 |
| Mets | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 +100 | -130 |
Cubs vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 away games (+18.10 Units / 165% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+10.30 Units / 94% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.10 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tomas Nido has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 27 games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+6.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 21-8 against the Run Line (+11.6 Units / 27.65% ROI).
- 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 23.31% ROI
- 13-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -13.95% ROI
- 16-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 5.79% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 14-14 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 2.05% ROI).
- 14-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.49% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -4.2% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -4.36% ROI
Mets vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wisdom (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jeff McNeil (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Mets vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Patrick Wisdom (CHC) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Mets vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .127 (15-for-118) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 18% (6/34) against Javier Assad this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .400 (137 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .741 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OBP of just .213 (136 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .325 — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has walked 10 of 45 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (18/64) against Sean Manaea this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .304 (92 Total Bases / 303 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .401 — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (17/61) against Sean Manaea this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cubs are just 15-26 (.366) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Cubs are just 21-27 (.438) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 38-20 (.655) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Cubs are just 35-38 (.479) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Mets are just 3-82 (.035) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Mets are just 8-43 (.157) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Mets are just 12-70 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Mets are 152-15 (.910) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .192 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .847 (202 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .356 (488 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Cubs hitters are slugging .489 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have put 45% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mets hitters are averaging just 3.63 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Mets hitters have just 826 strikeouts in 4,001 PA’s (21%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have just 38 strikeouts in 248 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.4 MPH since last season (4,769 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .235 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Cubs pitchers have won only 19% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Cubs pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 67% of opposing batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 711 of 7,161 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Cubs vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
