- The Padres are -145 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Padres TV Channel: MARQ | PDTV
The Chicago Cubs (+120) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-145) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Cubs are 7-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 6-8 ATS.
Cubs vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 0-1, 11.75 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 0-1, 3.38 ERA
Cubs vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -105 | +120 |
| Padres | -1.5 +140 | U 8 -115 | -145 |
Cubs vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+18.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+16.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+19.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+16.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+15.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+10.95 Units / 14% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 152 games (+16.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 8-3 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 25.71% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 27.08% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 22.31% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -29.75% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 6-8 against the Run Line (-0.38 Units / -2.42% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.21 Units / -18.29% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.53 Units / -9.92% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 2.58% ROI
Padres vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tatis Jr. | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bellinger | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Morel | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Machado | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Happ | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Padres vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Machado | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bogaerts | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Campusano | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Cronenworth | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bellinger | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Padres vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Machado | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Tatis Jr. | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cronenworth | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bellinger | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Morel | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Padres vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cease | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -150 |
| Hendricks | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -175 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has located his pitches away 73% of the time (895/1,224) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.037 (28 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .448 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks located 73% of his pitches away (827/1,135) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .050 (1-for-20) against Dylan Cease this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (7/26) against Dylan Cease this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (1,001/1,681) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .050 (1-for-20) against Dylan Cease this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 97th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Cubs were just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 11-24 (.314) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Cubs are just 33-38 (.465) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Cubs are 20-17 (.541) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Padres are just 3-15 (.167) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Padres are just 1-73 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Padres are just 15-30 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .474 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .565 (23 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Cubs hitters slugged .509 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .833 (81 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters are slugging .466 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 45% of their games since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers had an ERA of 3.43 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Padres vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Cubs vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
