- The Cubs are -145 favorites vs the Pirates
- Cubs vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Pirates TV Channel: MARQ | SNPT
The Chicago Cubs (-145) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+120) on Tuesday, April 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA, PA.
This season, the Cubs are 17-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 11-18 ATS.
Cubs vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 2-1, 3.18 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 2-1, 1.72 ERA
Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +120 | O 8.5 -110 | -145 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -145 | U 8.5 -110 | +120 |
Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+17.05 Units / 68% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+16.90 Units / 211% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.35 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+20.85 Units / 209% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+11.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.50 Units / 22% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+3.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 15-14 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 4.5% ROI).
- 17-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 12.43% ROI
- 18-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.35 Units / 23.52% ROI
- 10-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.1 Units / -31.03% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 11-18 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -25.94% ROI).
- 11-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -21.28% ROI
- 13-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -10.66% ROI
- 15-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 2.51% ROI
Pirates vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alexander Canario (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Pirates vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Pirates vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Justin Turner (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Pirates vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 5.5 -118 | 5.5 -110 |
| Andrew Heaney (PIT) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -118 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shota Imanaga has allowed an OBP of just .229 (315 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of 56% (1,368/2,436) against Shota Imanaga since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .168 (49-for-292) against Shota Imanaga when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 98th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga walked 9 of 257 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has allowed an OBP of just .195 (87 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .289 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .165 (18-for-109) against Andrew Heaney this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 96th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has allowed an OBP of just .222 (117 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .298 — 95th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has allowed an OBP of just .195 (87 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 97th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cubs are 1-9 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Cubs are 8-5 (.615) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Cubs are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Cubs are 8-3 (.727) after a loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Pirates are just 7-52 (.119) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Pirates were just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates are just 11-37 (.229) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .832 (542 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .675.
Cubs hitters are slugging .492 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .371.
Cubs hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .869 (267 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .102 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .511 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .300 (5,316 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .662 (5,316 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Cubs pitchers have struck out in the zone 44% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Cubs allowed 3.41 runs per game (276/81) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Cubs pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,126 opportunities (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% against Pirates pitchers since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates pitchers have allowed a run 44% of the time after an opposing score this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out in the zone 51% of the time since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
More MLB Reading:
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