- The Cubs are -110 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Cubs vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Red Sox TV Channel: MARQ | NESN
The Chicago Cubs (-110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-110) on Friday, April 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Cubs are 16-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 15-11 ATS.
Cubs vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 3-0, 0.84 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 1-0, 0.66 ERA
Cubs vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -105 | -110 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -115 | -110 |
Cubs vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+22.10 Units / 316% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+10.95 Units / 91% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+9.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Connor Wong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+19.50 Units / 279% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in his last 7 games (+12.25 Units / 175% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.30 Units / 27% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 18-7 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units / 24.66% ROI).
- 16-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.25 Units / 26.36% ROI
- 11-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -15.48% ROI
- 14-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 7.25% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 15-11 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 6.21% ROI).
- 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 5.49% ROI
- 11-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -11.56% ROI
- 13-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 2.79% ROI
Red Sox vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bobby Dalbec (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Matt Mervis (CHC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Red Sox vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mike Tauchman (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Red Sox vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Red Sox vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 57% of Shota Imanaga’s pitches (181/317) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has not walked any of the 36 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed an OBP of just .139 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .310 — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has walked 2 of 82 batters (2%) this season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .073 (4 Total Bases / 55 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — 100th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .194 (19 Total Bases / 98 ABs) this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .390 — 100th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .194 (19 Total Bases / 98 ABs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 98th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed an OBP of just .156 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Cubs are just 35-38 (.479) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Cubs are just 21-27 (.438) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 22-18 (.550) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Red Sox are just 1-83 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Red Sox are just 40-52 (.435) after a home loss since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Red Sox are just 41-54 (.432) after a loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Red Sox are just 3-149 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .867 (184 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Cubs hitters are slugging .506 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .383.
The Cubs are batting .284 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Cubs are batting just .180 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters are slugging .796 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .562.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of just .268 (358 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Red Sox are batting .271 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .430 against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .231 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The longest HR allowed by the Cubs pitchers this season traveled 460.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 442.4
The Cubs have allowed 3.31 runs per game (43/13) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.4 MPH since last season (4,654 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 2.64 (235.1 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 1.77 (142.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 11 of 236 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 71 of 973 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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