- The Royals are -150 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cubs / Royals TV Channel: MARQ | BSKC
The Chicago Cubs (+125) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-150) on Friday, July 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Cubs are 49-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 59-44 ATS.
Cubs vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 2-8, 6.82 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 6-6, 3.00 ERA
Cubs vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -160 | O 9 -110 | +125 |
| Royals | -1.5 +135 | U 9 -110 | -150 |
Cubs vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 34 games (+25.40 Units / 75% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+17.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+16.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+11.75 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+16.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games (+13.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 92 games (+15.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+5.05 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+4.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.35 Units / 61% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 53 games at home (+15.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 53 games at home (+11.94 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 53 games at home (+7.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 31% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 50-54 against the Run Line (-15.55 Units / -10.77% ROI).
- 49-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -5.65% ROI
- 43-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.8 Units / -18.14% ROI
- 58-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +11 Units / 9.62% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 59-44 against the Run Line (+6.49 Units / 4.61% ROI).
- 56-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 6.05% ROI
- 42-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.45 Units / -18.28% ROI
- 57-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.55 Units / 9.36% ROI
Royals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Royals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Mike Tauchman (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Royals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer (KC) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Kyle Hendricks (CHC) | 2.5 -135 | 2.5 +105 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.3 MPH on fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 59% of the time (546/923) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 87.9 MPH this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 56% of the time (721/1,298) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 170 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has allowed a just .256 SLG vs right-handed batters (second best)– 98th Percentile and .520 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– third Percentile.
Brady Singer allowed a batting average of just .174 vs right-handed batters (third best)– 97th Percentile and .295 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– third Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed a just .200 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth best)– 89th Percentile and .900 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (third worst among qualified SPs)– fourth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 51% (90/176) against Brady Singer this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 94th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Cubs are just 39-5 (.886) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Cubs are just 3-39 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Cubs are just 6-186 (.031) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Cubs are just 37-9 (.804) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Royals are just 26-55 (.321) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Royals are 21-8 (.724) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Royals are just 38-41 (.481) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .622.
The Royals are just 20-98 (.169) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .363 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Cubs hitters have just 6 strikeouts in 44 PA’s (14%) against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Cubs are batting .287 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Cubs are batting .165 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (4,727 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Royals have won just 53% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters are slugging .265 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 85 of 923 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 50 double plays in 761 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.62 (254.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
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