- The Astros are -160 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | DBTV | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+140) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-165) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 79-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 70-70 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 9-7, 4.32 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 13-6, 3.11 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -155 | O 7.5 +100 | +140 |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -120 | -165 |
Diamondbacks vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 22 games (+44.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 49 games (+20.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+15.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+14.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+14.20 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 44 games (+35.80 Units / 81% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+16.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+12.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+11.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 57 of their last 85 games (+29.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 84 games (+22.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 37 away games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 73 of their last 123 games (+20.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 82 games (+15.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 46 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 67 games (+10.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games (+7.80 Units / 18% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 73-68 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -0.86% ROI).
- 79-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.95 Units / 7.29% ROI
- 80-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.75 Units / 11.36% ROI
- 56-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -31.75 Units / -20.6% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 70-70 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 1.52% ROI).
- 75-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -4.6% ROI
- 55-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.3 Units / -21.79% ROI
- 81-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.05 Units / 12.9% ROI
Astros vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Astros vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Astros vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Astros vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has walked 8 of 243 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (14/21) against Brandon Pfaadt in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 38% — first Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OBP of just .247 (243 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 91st Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .281 (64-for-228) against Brandon Pfaadt when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — eighth Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (240/399) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 34% (124/365) against Framber Valdez this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (928/2,222) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has allowed an OPS of just .561 (773 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Diamondbacks are 20-15 (.571) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .360.
The Diamondbacks are 21-16 (.568) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .432.
The Diamondbacks are 41-40 (.506) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Diamondbacks are just 181-29 (.862) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Astros are just 0-49 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Astros are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 78-56 (.582) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Astros are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 60% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .332 (3,720 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Diamondbacks are batting .282 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .314 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 922 strikeouts in 5,060 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.66 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,479/17,588 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,638/11,534 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH since last season (7,874 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have walked 493 of 5,215 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.52 (4131.2 IP) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
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