- The Astros are -165 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | DBTV | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+140) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-165) on Saturday, September 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 79-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 71-70 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 2-1, 5.33 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 7-9, 4.25 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -150 | O 8 -105 | +140 |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -115 | -165 |
Diamondbacks vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 games (+43.00 Units / 187% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+19.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+15.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+14.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.25 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 44 games (+35.80 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+15.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ben Gamel has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 56% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 86 games (+30.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 38 away games (+11.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.05 Units / 12% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 73 of their last 124 games (+19.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 83 games (+16.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 68 games (+11.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games (+10.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+8.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 73-69 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -1.67% ROI).
- 79-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 6.69% ROI
- 81-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +18.75 Units / 11.92% ROI
- 56-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -32.85 Units / -21.16% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 71-70 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 2.3% ROI).
- 76-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -4.06% ROI
- 56-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -32.3 Units / -20.98% ROI
- 81-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.95 Units / 12.1% ROI
Astros vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Astros vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Astros vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
| Yusei Kikuchi (HOU) | 6.5 +135 | 6.5 -185 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez since last season is 384.2 feet — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 398.5
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez in the 2023 season was 381.5 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Eduardo Rodriguez has an ERA of 2.29 (98.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: 3.97 — 98th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of just .221 (208 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .291 — 99th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his changeup for a strike just 47% (135/290) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 31% (79 SO in 252 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .327 (17-for-52) against Yusei Kikuchi on low fastballs this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .267 — 13th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (69/226) against Yusei Kikuchi on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 86th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Diamondbacks are 22-13 (.629) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Diamondbacks are just 200-18 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 181-29 (.862) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are 19-109 (.147) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Astros are just 4-10 (.286) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .432.
The Astros are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 78-56 (.582) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Astros are 193-28 (.873) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .282 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .332 (3,727 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .563 (5,995 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.66 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
15% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (825/5,319 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,645/11,572 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.74 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH since last season (7,899 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 388.1 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.5
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
