- The Diamondbacks are -115 favorites vs the Giants
- Diamondbacks vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Giants TV Channel: DBTV | NSBA | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-105) on Tuesday, September 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 77-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 67-71 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 9-6, 4.22 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 7-6, 4.23 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +150 | O 7.5 -110 | -115 |
| Giants | +1.5 -185 | U 7.5 -110 | -105 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 19 games (+47.00 Units / 247% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 46 games (+18.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 46 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+14.10 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 41 games (+39.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 47 games (+17.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+15.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+11.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 82 games (+28.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 81 games (+21.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 34 away games (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+1.85 Units / 6% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 64 games at home (+10.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 64 games at home (+8.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 59 of their last 106 games (+6.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 71-67 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -1.55% ROI).
- 77-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 6.86% ROI
- 78-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.95 Units / 11.1% ROI
- 55-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.7 Units / -20.32% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 67-71 against the Run Line (-9.6 Units / -5.38% ROI).
- 68-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.2 Units / -7.35% ROI
- 69-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.07% ROI
- 63-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.1 Units / -8.59% ROI
Giants vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Kevin Newman (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (157/905) against Ryne Nelson since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to August 9th — Bobby Miller has the longest active streak at 9.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 53% (91/173) against Ryne Nelson on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (38/254) against Ryne Nelson when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Harrison has thrown fastballs 65% of the time (375/575) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has an average spin rate of 1987.4 RPM on curveballs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 2531.0 — fifth Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (291/520) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 43% of the time (614/1,430) in non-two strike counts this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Diamondbacks are 21-13 (.618) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Diamondbacks are just 179-29 (.861) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are 19-109 (.147) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Diamondbacks are 14-182 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Giants are 30-192 (.135) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Giants are 186-6 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants are just 38-41 (.481) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Giants are 10-56 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .345 (2,649 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Diamondbacks are batting .274 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .336 (5,334 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Diamondbacks are batting .281 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .219 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Giants hitters have 818 strikeouts in 3,294 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .156 with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
The Giants have a winning percentage of just 42% on the road since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH since last season (7,811 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 166 of 2,661 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
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