- Diamondbacks / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-130) on Wednesday, February 28, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Goodyear, AZ.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 2-2 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +110 |
| Guardians | -130 |
Diamondbacks vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in his last 3 away games (+6.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 away games (+4.15 Units / 208% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Tena has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.90 Units / 83% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 83 away games (+13.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 83 away games (+11.36 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games at home (+22.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 1-3 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -45% ROI).
- 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -53.51% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -5.68% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -5.68% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Guardians are 2-2 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 3.45% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 39.56% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -52.94% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 57% (32/56) against Brandon Pfaadt on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 0 Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt allowed a slugging percentage of .639 (122 Total Bases / 191 ABs) on fastballs in the 2023 season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .455 — fourth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 30% (40/135) against Brandon Pfaadt in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 33% (97/298) against Brandon Pfaadt in the 2023 season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Cantillo is making his MLB debut today.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Diamondbacks are just 116-21 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks are just 55-36 (.604) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Diamondbacks are just 132-13 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks were 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Guardians are 34-114 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were 18-57 (.240) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters slugged just .512 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 1,247 times in 6,124 PA’s (20%) in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters slugged just .394 against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Diamondbacks hitters missed on just 23% of swings in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 434 times in the 2023 season — 3rd most in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 1,706 times in the 2023 season — 4th most in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (4,085 batted balls) in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,042 times in the 2023 season — 4th most in MLB.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 28th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 100 times since last season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.
Guardians vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gabriel Arias (Cleveland Guardians): Wrist, Out
- Logan Allen (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Corbin Martin (Arizona Diamondbacks): Lat, Out
- Chris Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Kevin Ginkel (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, Out
- Scott McGough (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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