- The Diamondbacks are -110 favorites vs the Guardians
- Diamondbacks vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-110) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-110) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 61-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 56-56 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 5-6, 3.97 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 10-6, 3.43 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -115 | -110 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -105 | -110 |
Diamondbacks vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 19 games (+38.90 Units / 205% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+18.30 Units / 96% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+14.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.90 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 23 games at home (+52.50 Units / 228% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Angel Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 57 games (+20.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 48 games (+16.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 56 games (+15.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 away games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.95 Units / 34% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 67 of their last 112 games (+17.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 112 games (+14.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 48 games at home (+14.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games at home (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 98 games (+9.40 Units / 8% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 56-57 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -5.39% ROI).
- 61-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 3.78% ROI
- 62-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.65 Units / 6.9% ROI
- 48-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.95 Units / -16.16% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 56-56 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 1.82% ROI).
- 67-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.82 Units / 10.23% ROI
- 55-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -1.09% ROI
- 51-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.4 Units / -7.66% ROI
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Guardians vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Lively (CLE) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt allowed a batting average of just .185 vs right-handed batters (fifth best)– 94th Percentile and .299 vs left-handed batters this season (worst among qualified SPs)– second Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OBP of just .226 (274 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 97th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has struck out just 17% (43/261) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .299 (72-for-241) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — second Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
12 of Ben Lively’s 32 breaking pitch strikeouts (38%) have been backdoor this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .196 against Ben Lively vs left-handed batters this season — ninth best among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP– 90th Percentile. Left handed batters hit .296 (55-for-186) against him last season — 10th worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 10th Percentile.
Ben Lively has allowed a slugging percentage of .623 (96 Total Bases / 154 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: .433 — third Percentile.
15 of Ben Lively’s 60 breaking pitch strikeouts (25%) have been backdoor since last season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 93rd Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Diamondbacks are 15-12 (.556) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .367.
The Diamondbacks are just 165-28 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are just 184-18 (.911) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are 14-6 (.700) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Guardians are 19-19 (.500) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Guardians are just 2-38 (.050) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.
The Guardians are 59-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Guardians are 50-2 (.962) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .858.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .545 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Diamondbacks are batting .283 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .968 (445 PA’s) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .340 (1,388 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 2,132 strikeouts in 11,657 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians are batting just .276 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Guardians have allowed 0.82 runs per game (92/112) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Guardians pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .227 against Guardians pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Guardians vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Shane Bieber (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Nelson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, 7-Day IL
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Saalfrank (Arizona Diamondbacks): Suspension, Suspension
- Blake Walston (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
