- The Diamondbacks are -115 favorites vs the Rays
- Diamondbacks vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Rays TV Channel: DBTV | BSUN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-110) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-110) on Friday, August 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 69-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 60-60 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 8-6, 4.50 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 6-5, 3.92 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -120 | -110 |
| Rays | +1.5 -190 | U 8 +100 | -110 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 21 games (+41.70 Units / 199% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+17.85 Units / 81% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 40 games (+17.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+16.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+13.55 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 42 games (+16.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 35 games (+16.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 65 games (+22.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 66 games (+19.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 57 games (+10.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+1.75 Units / 14% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 117 games (+25.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 66 of their last 111 games (+16.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 49 games (+10.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 47 games (+2.45 Units / 4% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 62-60 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -2.62% ROI).
- 69-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.35 Units / 7.96% ROI
- 66-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.25 Units / 6.11% ROI
- 52-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.4 Units / -15.28% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 60-60 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -3.48% ROI).
- 59-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -12 Units / -8.15% ROI
- 54-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.7 Units / -11.16% ROI
- 63-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 2.98% ROI
Rays vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Rays vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rays vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Ryan Pepiot (TB) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .207 (145-for-700) against Zac Gallen when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 91st Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .393 (11-for-28) against Zac Gallen in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .232 — fourth Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .319 (223 Total Bases / 700 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 95th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .341 (151 Total Bases / 443 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — 90th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Pepiot has allowed a slugging percentage of just .156 (12 Total Bases / 77 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .368 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .193 (90-for-466) against Ryan Pepiot since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has walked 11 of 92 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has located his fastball away 56% of the time (414/736) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Diamondbacks are 15-6 (.714) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Diamondbacks are 16-12 (.571) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .357.
The Diamondbacks are 18-104 (.146) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Diamondbacks are 53-11 (.815) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Rays are just 16-33 (.327) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Rays are 56-4 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rays are just 23-47 (.329) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .283 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .908 (515 PA’s) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .908 (515 PA’s) this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 64% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .653 (2,343 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 254 of 3,963 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rays vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Ryan Pepiot (Tampa Bay Rays): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Nelson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, 7-Day IL
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Saalfrank (Arizona Diamondbacks): Suspension, Suspension
- Blake Walston (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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