- The Royals are -160 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Royals TV Channel: DBTV | BSKC
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-160) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 51-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 58-42 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Yilber Diaz 1-0, 1.54 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 6-6, 3.17 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -110 | +135 |
| Royals | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -110 | -160 |
Diamondbacks vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games (+13.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 away games (+9.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+16.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+13.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.59 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 51-49 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -2.96% ROI).
- 51-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -1.53% ROI
- 52-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 1.84% ROI
- 45-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.55 Units / -10.6% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 58-42 against the Run Line (+7.14 Units / 5.18% ROI).
- 55-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 7.33% ROI
- 40-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.3 Units / -19.62% ROI
- 56-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.8 Units / 10.79% ROI
Royals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adam Frazier (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yilber Diaz has allowed an OBP of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .316 — 97th Percentile.
Yilber Diaz has a strikeout rate of just 11% (2 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .059 (1-for-17) against Yilber Diaz when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — tied for 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .239 — 96th Percentile.
57% of Yilber Diaz’s strikeouts are looking in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 35% (283/806) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (316/956) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 46% (65 SO in 141 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 93rd Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .305 (51 Total Bases / 167 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 86th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Diamondbacks are just 11-18 (.379) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Diamondbacks are just 112-10 (.918) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Diamondbacks are 18-13 (.581) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
The Diamondbacks are just 175-16 (.916) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Royals are just 40-56 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Royals are just 18-33 (.353) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Royals are just 20-97 (.171) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 13-67 (.162) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .283 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .709 (346 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 64% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 1,455 strikeouts in 7,047 PA’s (21%) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (4,727 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Royals have won just 53% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have just 13 strikeouts in 103 PA’s (13%) against LHP this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.62 (254.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Royals pitchers have walked 12 of 278 batters (4%) over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
