- The Astros are -150 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Dodgers vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Astros TV Channel: SNLA | SCHN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+125) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-150) on Saturday, July 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Dodgers are 62-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 54-49 ATS.
Dodgers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Justin Wrobleski 0-1, 4.50 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 9-5, 2.76 ERA
Dodgers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 +100 | +125 |
| Astros | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -120 | -150 |
Dodgers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+15.10 Units / 151% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 30 games (+13.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+11.75 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 48 games (+24.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 20 games (+20.50 Units / 102% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+16.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+15.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+15.65 Units / 25% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+5.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 away games (+2.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 45 games (+18.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 86 games (+14.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+10.30 Units / 49% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 51-54 against the Run Line (-8.45 Units / -6.7% ROI).
- 62-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.95 Units / -6.33% ROI
- 53-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -2.73% ROI
- 51-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.15 Units / -6.18% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 54-49 against the Run Line (+5.95 Units / 4.66% ROI).
- 54-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.3 Units / -5.75% ROI
- 41-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.4 Units / -20.72% ROI
- 59-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.05 Units / 12.34% ROI
Astros vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -275 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Astros vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Wrobleski (LAD) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 16% (3/19) against Justin Wrobleski in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (4/27) against Justin Wrobleski in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Justin Wrobleski has walked 3 of 17 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .056 (1-for-18) against Justin Wrobleski with two-strikes in his last two starts — tied for 9th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .167 — 91st Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .130 (6-for-46) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 100th Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has walked 24 of 172 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .174 (70-for-402) against Ronel Blanco this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .219 (39-for-178) against Ronel Blanco in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Dodgers are 241-46 (.840) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 52-24 (.684) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 141-26 (.844) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Astros are just 0-37 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.
The Astros are 177-25 (.876) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Astros are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 18-17 (.514) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (3830.0 IP) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Tucker (Houston Astros): Lower Leg, 10-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cristian Javier (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Rojas (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Brasier (Los Angeles Dodgers): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Connor Brogdon (Los Angeles Dodgers): Foot, 60-Day IL
- Mookie Betts (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Muncy (Los Angeles Dodgers): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Neck, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Michael Grove (Los Angeles Dodgers): Ribs, 15-Day IL
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