Dodgers vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 28

Toronto Blue Jays' Vladimir Guerrero Jr. plays against the Boston Red Sox during the fourth inning of a baseball game, Thursday, May 4, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
  • The Dodgers are -105 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Dodgers vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Dodgers / Blue Jays TV Channel: SNLA | TVA | RSN1 | MLBN

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-115) on Sunday, April 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Dodgers are 18-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 13-15 ATS.

Dodgers vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Michael Grove 0-0, 6.01 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 0-3, 5.58 ERA

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +155O 8 +100-105
Blue Jays +1.5 -190U 8 -120-115

Dodgers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+9.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 games (+15.20 Units / 109% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+10.30 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 63 away games (+16.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 14-15 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -6.95% ROI).

  • 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -7.89% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 15.14% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -24.42% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 13-15 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -13.07% ROI).

  • 13-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -10.63% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -25.16% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.7 Units / 15.16% ROI

Blue Jays vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Blue Jays vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ernie Clement (TOR) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Blue Jays vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200

Blue Jays vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Opponents have a miss rate of 53% (8/15) against Michael Grove on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (39/113) against Michael Grove this season — 8th best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 93rd Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 35% (23/65) against Michael Grove this season — 13th best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 88th Percentile.

Michael Grove has a strike rate of just 54% (38/70) when he’s behind in the count this season — 6th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 67% — sixth Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (769/1,014) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 34% (204 SO in 603 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has thrown his fastball for a strike 76% (2,366/3,100) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 29% (93 SO in 315 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 87th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Dodgers are 205-32 (.865) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Dodgers are 110-64 (.632) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Blue Jays are 71-120 (.372) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .280.

The Blue Jays are 171-42 (.803) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Blue Jays are 15-11 (.577) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Blue Jays are 140-14 (.909) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .868.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Dodgers hitters have grounded into 23 double plays in 403 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Dodgers have scored 561 runs in late innings since the 2022 season — most in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .793 (9,794 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .398 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .554.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .348 (208 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Blue Jays are batting just .247 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.

The Blue Jays are batting .271 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .253.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

The Dodgers have won 46% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 114.6).

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
  • Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.