- The Braves are -130 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Dodgers vs Braves Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Braves TV Channel: SNLA | BSSE | MLBN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+110) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-130) on Saturday, September 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Dodgers are 87-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 67-79 ATS.
Dodgers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 12-6, 2.87 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 16-3, 2.40 ERA
Dodgers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -105 | +110 |
| Braves | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -115 | -130 |
Dodgers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Strikeouts Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.45 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cavan Biggio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 games (+16.00 Units / 133% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Strikeouts Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Braves Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 72-74 against the Run Line (-5.7 Units / -3.3% ROI).
- 87-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -4.01% ROI
- 78-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.65 Units / 4.77% ROI
- 64-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.95 Units / -13.61% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 67-79 against the Run Line (-15.35 Units / -8.71% ROI).
- 79-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.7 Units / -9.53% ROI
- 53-88 when betting on the total runs Over for -42.7 Units / -26.8% ROI
- 88-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +29.45 Units / 18.17% ROI
Braves vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Braves vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Braves vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +120 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has walked 5 of 225 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (358/1,108) against Jack Flaherty this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 29 of 585 batters (5%) this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 89th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown breaking pitches 52% of the time (250/485) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
31 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 33% (81 SO in 243 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 32% (213 SO in 658 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed an OPS of just .496 (243 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Dodgers are 259-48 (.844) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 57-28 (.671) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .465.
The Dodgers are 113-58 (.661) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Dodgers are 159-28 (.850) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Braves are 30-17 (.638) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are 65-46 (.586) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Braves are 80-141 (.362) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Braves are 37-84 (.306) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .335 (8,585 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .446 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (13,094 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Dodgers are batting .365 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .675 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Braves hitters are slugging .479 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Braves hitters are slugging .458 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Braves are batting .269 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,309 of 17,373 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
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