- The Dodgers are -120 favorites vs the Braves
- Dodgers vs Braves Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Braves TV Channel: SNLA | BSSE | MLBN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (+100) on Monday, September 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Dodgers are 88-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 69-80 ATS.
Dodgers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 6-2, 2.76 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 9-9, 3.46 ERA
Dodgers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +145 | O 7.5 +100 | -120 |
| Braves | +1.5 -175 | U 7.5 -120 | +100 |
Dodgers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+19.50 Units / 390% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+14.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 22 away games (+11.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 29 of his last 33 games (+22.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 46 games (+18.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+14.30 Units / 60% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+13.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 67 games (+15.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+5.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+5.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 games (+4.45 Units / 7% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 135 games (+36.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+3.30 Units / 7% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 73-76 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -4.07% ROI).
- 88-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -4.41% ROI
- 80-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.55 Units / 5.23% ROI
- 65-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.1 Units / -14.04% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 69-80 against the Run Line (-14.4 Units / -7.96% ROI).
- 81-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.8 Units / -9.03% ROI
- 55-89 when betting on the total runs Over for -41.8 Units / -25.7% ROI
- 89-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +28.3 Units / 17.12% ROI
Braves vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Braves vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Braves vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Max Fried (ATL) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has not allowed a home run in any of the last 34.2 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 84.1.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 12.1 innings pitched — Brusdar Graterol has the longest active streak at 31.2.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has pitched 17.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Kevin Kelly has the longest active streak at 24.0.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 17 innings — Mason Miller has the longest active streak at 21.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .219 (44 Total Bases / 201 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .181 (13-for-72) against Max Fried on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (100/164) against Max Fried in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 72% (28/39) against Max Fried in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Dodgers are 260-48 (.844) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 160-28 (.851) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Dodgers are 58-29 (.667) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Dodgers are 12-3 (.800) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Braves are 30-17 (.638) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are 37-85 (.303) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Braves are 34-62 (.354) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Braves are 54-58 (.482) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .362.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .446 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
The Dodgers are batting .365 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .782 (13,140 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .446 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .478 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Braves hitters are slugging .674 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Braves have barrels in 7% of PA’s since last season (881/11,821) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Braves hitters are slugging .457 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.58 (4227.1 IP) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
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