- The Dodgers are -115 favorites vs the Brewers
- Dodgers vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Dodgers / Brewers TV Channel: SNLA | BSWI
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-105) on Monday, August 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Dodgers are 69-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 61-56 ATS.
Dodgers vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw 0-2, 4.38 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 7-6, 4.05 ERA
Dodgers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -110 | -115 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -110 | -105 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 19 games (+18.50 Units / 97% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 41 games (+17.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+13.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+12.60 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+16.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 25 games at home (+15.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+14.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+14.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+12.75 Units / 30% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.50 Units / 27% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 63 of their last 113 games (+15.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 117 games (+10.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 43 games at home (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 65 of their last 117 games (+7.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games at home (+4.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 57-61 against the Run Line (-10.75 Units / -7.5% ROI).
- 69-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -5.85% ROI
- 62-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 1.23% ROI
- 55-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.2 Units / -10.13% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 61-56 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 1.53% ROI).
- 67-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.4 Units / 7% ROI
- 64-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.05 Units / 10.22% ROI
- 47-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.7 Units / -18.27% ROI
Brewers vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Brewers vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw (LAD) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 61% of the time (1,372/2,262) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 58% of the time (436/750) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total SL; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OPS of just .464 (214 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total IP; League Avg: .728 — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 56% of Clayton Kershaw’s non-fastballs (1,407/2,520) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 31% (147 SO in 476 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .206 (89-for-431) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.5 MPH on the 226 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 87.6.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 60% (655/1,082) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Dodgers are 246-46 (.842) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Dodgers are 106-55 (.658) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Brewers are 34-72 (.321) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 60-35 (.632) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Brewers are 58-55 (.513) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Brewers are 48-117 (.291) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (7,810 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (12,319 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.238 (895 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.074.
The Dodgers are batting .363 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,604/16,701 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .333 (3,338 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Brewers hitters have 35 extra-base hits out of 132 total hits (just 27%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Brewers are batting .257 this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 22 of 418 batters (5%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.65 (1927.1 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.53 (3953.1 IP) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Brewers have allowed 3.93 runs per game (562/143) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.53.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.74 (1241.2 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Brewers vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- DL Hall (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Joe Ross (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Greg Allen (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Triceps, 60-Day IL
- Abner Uribe (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Christian Yelich (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Oliver Dunn (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Rojas (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Brasier (Los Angeles Dodgers): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Connor Brogdon (Los Angeles Dodgers): Foot, 60-Day IL
- Mookie Betts (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Muncy (Los Angeles Dodgers): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Neck, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Michael Grove (Los Angeles Dodgers): Ribs, 15-Day IL
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