Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 30

Arizona Diamondbacks' Pavin Smith rounds the bases after his two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers, Sunday, June 11, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
  • The Dodgers are -125 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Dodgers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: SNLA | DBTV | MLBN

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-130) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) on Friday, August 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Dodgers are 80-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 69-65 ATS.

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw 2-2, 3.77 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 10-6, 3.65 ERA

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +135O 8.5 -110-130
Diamondbacks +1.5 -160U 8.5 -110+110

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 35 games (+28.60 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+13.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+12.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 50 games (+10.25 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 15 games (+35.40 Units / 236% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+16.10 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+15.10 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+14.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+11.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+7.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+6.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.25 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 78 games (+24.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 77 games (+23.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 69 games (+12.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.20 Units / 12% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 66-68 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -4.09% ROI).

  • 80-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -3.88% ROI
  • 70-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.1 Units / 2.11% ROI
  • 61-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.95 Units / -10.78% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 69-65 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -1.15% ROI).

  • 76-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.95 Units / 8.2% ROI
  • 74-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.95 Units / 8.72% ROI
  • 55-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.1 Units / -17.82% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Randal Grichuk (ARI) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Kevin Newman (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Randal Grichuk (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Josh Bell (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zac Gallen (ARI) 4.5 -145 4.5 +110
Clayton Kershaw (LAD) 4.5 +125 4.5 -160

Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OPS of just .475 (228 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: .728 — 99th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OPS of just .742 (180 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 1.063 — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has averaged 73.1 MPH on curveballs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 79.7 — third Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (377/642) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .340 (156 Total Bases / 459 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — 96th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .621 (495 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .692 — 93rd Percentile.

Zac Gallen has not allowed a home run in any of the last 40.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 78.1.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .274 (766 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 91st Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Dodgers are 56-28 (.667) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Dodgers are 156-27 (.852) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.

The Dodgers are 110-56 (.663) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .491.

The Dodgers are 256-47 (.845) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Diamondbacks are 19-13 (.594) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .360.

The Diamondbacks are 9-114 (.073) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Diamondbacks are 21-13 (.618) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Diamondbacks are 43-34 (.558) after a road win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The Dodgers are batting .365 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .782 (12,760 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .769 (9,105 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .781 (11,481 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .523 against RHP this month (25 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .370 (690 PA’s) against RHP this month (25 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Diamondbacks are batting .282 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Diamondbacks have scored first in 72% of their games against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.52 (4095.1 IP) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

Dodgers pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 28% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
  • Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.