- Dodgers / Guardians TV Channel: SNLA | MLBN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-130) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+110) on Monday, March 11, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Goodyear, AZ.
This season, the Dodgers are 10-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 4-7 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -130 |
| Guardians | +110 |
Dodgers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 105% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.95 Units / 80% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Will Smith has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Tena has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.90 Units / 83% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 away games (+20.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games at home (+22.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Dodgers are 10-4 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 34.68% ROI).
- 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.98 Units / 18.11% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -3.22% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -2.28% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Guardians are 4-7 against the Run Line (-4.48 Units / -29.63% ROI).
- 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.64 Units / -42.99% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.47 Units / -3.96% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.68 Units / -5.52% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters batting in the top of the order batted just .182 against Bobby Miller in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 99th Percentile.
Bobby Miller had an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.
Bobby Miller allowed an OBP of just .253 (190 PA’s) versus the top of the order in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .328 — 97th Percentile.
30% of Bobby Miller’s strikeouts came on 97+ MPH fastballs in the 2023 season — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 93rd Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Triston McKenzie’s lowest spin rate on fastballs since last season is 49.0 RPM — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 1212.5
Triston McKenzie’s highest spin rate on curveballs since last season is 2453.0 RPM — 3rd fewest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2819.2
Triston McKenzie’s highest spin rate on curveballs inside since last season is 2443.0 RPM — 6th fewest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2766.8
The hardest ball hit off of Triston McKenzie since the 2021 season was 120.1 MPH — 2nd hardest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 115.6
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Dodgers are 41-16 (.719) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The Dodgers are 185-29 (.864) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Dodgers were 44-17 (.721) after a loss in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Dodgers were 85-9 (.904) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Guardians are 34-114 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were 18-57 (.240) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 68% at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Dodgers hitters had 165 extra-base hits out of 385 total hits (43%) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters had an OPS of .776 (1,953 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Dodgers hitters had an OPS of .795 (6,333 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 51% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 28th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 100 times since last season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.
Guardians vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gabriel Arias (Cleveland Guardians): Wrist, Out
- Logan Allen (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shohei Ohtani (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Daniel Hudson (Los Angeles Dodgers): Knee, Out
- Enrique Hernandez (Los Angeles Dodgers): Groin, Out
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