- The Dodgers are -225 favorites vs the Marlins
- Dodgers vs Marlins Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Dodgers / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | SNLA
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+185) on Wednesday, May 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:40pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL.
This season, the Dodgers are 24-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 18-17 ATS.
Dodgers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 4-2, 0.92 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Valente Bellozo 0-2, 5.11 ERA
Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -2.5 +105 | O 10 -118 | -225 |
| Marlins | +2.5 -125 | U 10 -102 | +185 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 64.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+15.50 Units / 258% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Connor Norby has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- Matt Mervis has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+9.80 Units / 123% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Connor Norby has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+8.25 Units / 33% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+4.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.80 Units / 9% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 18-17 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.91% ROI).
- 24-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 6.57% ROI
- 20-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 7.49% ROI
- 16-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -14.2% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 18-17 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -1.49% ROI).
- 14-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -1.65% ROI
- 23-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.45 Units / 24.36% ROI
- 12-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.35 Units / -34.95% ROI
Marlins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -225 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -400 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Marlins vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Valente Bellozo (MIA) | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (56/91) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 78% (36/46) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed an OBP of just .211 (76 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — 95th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .130 (9-for-69) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 98th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Valente Bellozo in the 2024 season was 417.8 feet — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 398.3
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (76/270) against Valente Bellozo since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Valente Bellozo has an average fastball velocity of just 89.5 MPH since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 93.7 — second Percentile.
Valente Bellozo has a strikeout rate of just 14% (51 SO in 353 PAs) since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 187-34 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 67-32 (.677) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins are just 47-16 (.746) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Marlins are just 24-50 (.324) after a win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .701 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (13,959 PA’s) since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .461 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters had an OBP of just .286 (1,976 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .355 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Dodgers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .178 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 7.53 (118.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
The Marlins have allowed 7.43 runs per game (104/14) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.53.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
More MLB Reading:
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