- The Dodgers are -150 favorites vs the Mets
- Dodgers vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Mets TV Channel: SNLA | SNY | MLBN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+125) on Monday, May 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Dodgers are 33-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 23-29 ATS.
Dodgers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone 4-2, 3.60 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill 0-2, 3.00 ERA
Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 -105 | -150 |
| Mets | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -115 | +125 |
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+12.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 38 games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Will Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 away games (+10.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 17 away games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.00 Units / 260% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+12.15 Units / 64% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+9.35 Units / 23% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+2.00 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+11.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 21 games at home (+1.00 Units / 4% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 27-28 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -7.14% ROI).
- 33-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -8.05% ROI
- 28-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.91% ROI
- 26-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -7.94% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 23-29 against the Run Line (-8.45 Units / -12.49% ROI).
- 22-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.7 Units / -16.8% ROI
- 26-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 1.08% ROI
- 23-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -9.47% ROI
Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tylor Megill (NYM) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
| Gavin Stone (LAD) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 33% (34 SO in 102 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 42% — ninth Percentile.
Gavin Stone has walked 3 of 18 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Gavin Stone has walked 1 of 54 right-handed batters (2%) this month (4 games) — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Gavin Stone has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.5 MPH this season (156 balls in play) — tied for 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 89.1
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 56% (258/461) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Tylor Megill has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (329/606) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Tylor Megill has not allowed a hit to any of the last 37 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Michael Grove has the longest active streak at 45.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (80/378) against Tylor Megill with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are 48-19 (.716) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Dodgers are 120-19 (.863) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Dodgers are 220-39 (.849) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 57-26 (.687) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets are just 5-92 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Mets are just 15-80 (.158) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Mets are just 63-30 (.677) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Mets are just 9-84 (.097) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 27 double plays in 433 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .787 (6,021 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Dodgers hitters have a groundball rate of just 36% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Dodgers hitters have put just 28% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting just .206 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Mets have won just 29% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Mets are batting just .236 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Mets hitters have an OBP of just .287 (1,003 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 614 of 8,029 batters (8%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 44% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 57 of 469 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 221 of 2,008 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 197 of 1,881 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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