- The Dodgers are -115 favorites vs the Padres
- Dodgers vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Dodgers / Padres TV Channel: SNLA | PDTV
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-105) on Monday, June 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Dodgers are 39-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 35-29 ATS.
Dodgers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Dustin May 3-4, 4.09 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 6-2, 3.18 ERA
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -105 | -115 |
| Padres | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -115 | -105 |
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Pages has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+10.00 Units / 111% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.65 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+9.90 Units / 124% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 49 games (+1.95 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+8.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+7.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+4.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 30-35 against the Run Line (-6.15 Units / -7.81% ROI).
- 39-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -4.73% ROI
- 38-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.75 Units / 10.67% ROI
- 28-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.2 Units / -18.19% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 35-29 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 3.4% ROI).
- 37-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 5.01% ROI
- 25-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.25 Units / -21.88% ROI
- 37-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.05 Units / 12.69% ROI
Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta (SD) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Dustin May (LAD) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dustin May has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to May 4th — Shane Baz has the longest active streak at 7.
Dustin May has thrown his slider 50% of the time (120/239) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total SL; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 19% (22/115) against Dustin May with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Dustin May has allowed a slugging percentage of just .100 (3 Total Bases / 30 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .380 — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OPS of just .222 (138 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .479 — 100th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .123 (138 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .083 (11-for-132) against Nick Pivetta with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .106 (7-for-66) against Nick Pivetta’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 96th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 17-5 (.773) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 195-38 (.837) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 126-68 (.649) at home since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 7-17 (.292) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .137.
The Padres were 66-8 (.892) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Padres are 10-1 (.909) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Padres are 19-9 (.679) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .553.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (15,149 PA’s) since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .457 against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres batted .275 on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have won 38% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .203 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Dodgers pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Padres pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 61% of the time over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Padres pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1441.0 IP) in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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