- The Phillies are -140 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Dodgers vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Phillies TV Channel: ESPN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-140) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Dodgers are 55-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 49-42 ATS.
Dodgers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone 9-2, 3.04 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 6-4, 2.91 ERA
Dodgers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -165 | O 9.5 -115 | +120 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +140 | U 9.5 -105 | -140 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.45 Units / 79% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+11.60 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 37 games (+19.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+17.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 25 games at home (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+4.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 away games (+3.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.55 Units / 22% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 50 of their last 76 games (+22.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 74 games (+21.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 48 of their last 73 games (+18.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 38 games at home (+15.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 74 games (+13.75 Units / 15% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 45-47 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -7.74% ROI).
- 55-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -6.82% ROI
- 48-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 0.64% ROI
- 43-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.7 Units / -9.56% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 49-42 against the Run Line (+6.45 Units / 5.86% ROI).
- 59-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.9 Units / 7.94% ROI
- 41-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.85 Units / -8.81% ROI
- 45-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.25% ROI
Phillies vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Rojas (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Miguel Vargas (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Phillies vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Gavin Stone (LAD) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 10% (11 SO in 111 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .000 (0 GB hits out of 17 GBs) against Gavin Stone with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 100th Percentile.
Gavin Stone has a strike rate of 69% (506/738) against right-handed batters this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 89th Percentile.
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 12% (9 SO in 76 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (71/114) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (173/289) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (136/209) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has a strike rate of 67% when ahead in the count (seventh highest)– 91st Percentile and 66% when behind in the count this season (eighth lowest among qualified SPs)– 11th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Dodgers are 51-21 (.708) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 100-48 (.676) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Dodgers are 265-150 (.639) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 218-11 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Phillies are 51-6 (.895) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Phillies are 9-20 (.310) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Phillies are 11-2 (.846) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .544.
The Phillies are 4-25 (.138) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .057.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (11,620 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .446 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (7,111 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .784 (7,111 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .255 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Phillies hitters are slugging .441 against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Phillies are batting .257 since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Phillies hitters are slugging .445 against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 7.55 (62.0 IP) this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.47.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.37 (1906.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .152 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 40% with runners in scoring position this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Phillies vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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