- The Dodgers are -185 favorites vs the Pirates
- Dodgers vs Pirates Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Dodgers / Pirates TV Channel: SNLA | SNPT
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+150) on Thursday, June 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Dodgers are 38-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 34-27 ATS.
Dodgers vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 1-3, 4.32 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 3-2, 3.24 ERA
Dodgers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -115 | O 9 +100 | -185 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -105 | U 9 -120 | +150 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 66.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Will Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 away games (+16.50 Units / 92% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 46 games (+14.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+12.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 47 games (+11.20 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+13.00 Units / 162% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+11.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+2.90 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+0.75 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 32-31 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -4.99% ROI).
- 38-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -8.01% ROI
- 30-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -7.32% ROI
- 32-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -1.36% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 34-27 against the Run Line (+4.61 Units / 5.67% ROI).
- 29-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -5.82% ROI
- 31-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 4% ROI
- 26-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.57 Units / -11.34% ROI
Pirates vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Pirates vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Miguel Rojas (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Enrique Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Pirates vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Pirates vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Falter (PIT) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
| Walker Buehler (LAD) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 14% (11/79) against Walker Buehler — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Walker Buehler has walked 3 of 18 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (5/19) against Walker Buehler over the last 14 days — 5th lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 11% (5/44) against Walker Buehler over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 8% (6 SO in 73 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 13% (13 SO in 99 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (10/70) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 16% (16 SO in 99 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Dodgers are 49-20 (.710) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Dodgers are 125-21 (.856) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Dodgers are 225-41 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 249-138 (.643) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Pirates are just 11-15 (.423) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Pirates are just 14-23 (.378) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 28-45 (.384) after a road win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Pirates are just 123-30 (.804) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .784 (10,743 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (6,234 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .447 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (10,743 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 48 strikeouts in 115 PA’s (42%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 176 strikeouts in 497 PA’s (35%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Pirates are batting just .152 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .496 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Dodgers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 640 of 8,311 batters (8%) since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,374 of 14,829 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 393 times this season — 5th most in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.80 (1251.2 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Pirates pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 50% of their games since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Pirates vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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