The San Francisco Giants (+130) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) on Thursday, February 29, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Scottsdale, AZ.
This season, the Giants are 0-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 2-3 ATS.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Giants | +130 |
| Diamondbacks | -155 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Wade Meckler has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jordan Lawlar has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jordan Lawlar has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.35 Units / 17% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Giants are 1-4 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -59.06% ROI).
- 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -62.88% ROI
- 4-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 58.25% ROI
- 1-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -62.39% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 2-3 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -14.41% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -26.12% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 13.64% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -24.55% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (389/619) against Logan Webb in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 64% (250/393) against Logan Webb in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb threw his changeup 46% of the time (371/813) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 65% (199/308) against Logan Webb in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson had an ERA of 8.25 (55.2 IP) at home in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.14 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .356 (84-for-236) against Ryne Nelson at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson allowed a slugging percentage of .636 (150 Total Bases / 236 ABs) at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .411 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson struck out just 14% (42/304) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Giants are 130-3 (.977) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Giants are just 24-44 (.353) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Giants are 31-32 (.492) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Giants were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Diamondbacks are just 116-21 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks are just 55-36 (.604) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Diamondbacks are just 132-13 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks were 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters slugged just .512 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 1,247 times in 6,124 PA’s (20%) in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters slugged just .394 against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Diamondbacks hitters missed on just 23% of swings in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers walked 87 of 1,439 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers walked 403 of 6,039 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 130 double plays in 1,059 opportunities (12%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 434 times in the 2023 season — 3rd most in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 1,706 times in the 2023 season — 4th most in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (4,085 batted balls) in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,042 times in the 2023 season — 4th most in MLB.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Corbin Martin (Arizona Diamondbacks): Lat, Out
- Chris Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Kevin Ginkel (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, Out
- Scott McGough (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, Out
- Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Side, Day-To-Day
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marco Luciano (San Francisco Giants): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
- Mark Mathias (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
- Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, Out
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
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