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The San Francisco Giants () visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins () on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Giants are 7-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 6-12 ATS.
Giants vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Keaton Winn 0-3, 5.07 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 0-2, 4.80 ERA
Giants vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | O | ||
| Marlins | U |
Giants vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+16.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+13.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+6.25 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jesus Luzardo has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 20 of his last 34 games (+6.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Jesus Luzardo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+4.19 Units / 5% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 6-12 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -35.29% ROI).
- 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -29.31% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 18.16% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -25.87% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 6-12 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -40.34% ROI).
- 4-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.95 Units / -49.75% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 17.51% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -25.38% ROI
Marlins vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Marlins vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tim Anderson (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Marlins vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Keaton Winn (SF) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Trevor Rogers (MIA) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (16/25) against Keaton Winn in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 99th Percentile.
Keaton Winn has located his pitches away 66% of the time (31/47) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (26/44) against Keaton Winn this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Keaton Winn has struck out just 12% (5/41) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 10th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Rogers has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to April 14th, 2023 — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 9.
Trevor Rogers has struck out just 10% (5/51) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has allowed a slugging percentage of .700 (14 Total Bases / 20 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .298 — first Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has allowed three-ball counts to 25% of batters they faced (155/628 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 19% — fourth Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Giants are 72-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Giants are just 38-55 (.409) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Giants are just 19-23 (.452) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Giants are 25-14 (.641) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Marlins are 36-15 (.706) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Marlins are 13-154 (.078) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Marlins were 24-3 (.889) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Marlins are 59-11 (.843) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .783.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
The Giants are batting just .241 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have chased 49% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .297 (3,034 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Giants pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 472.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 439.8
Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins pitchers have walked 85 of 731 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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