- The – are favorites vs the –
- Giants vs Marlins Over / Under today: Runs
- Giants / Marlins TV Channel: NSBA | BSFL | MLBN
The San Francisco Giants () visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins () on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Giants are 7-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 6-12 ATS.
Giants vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Keaton Winn 0-3, 5.07 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 0-2, 4.80 ERA
Giants vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | O | ||
| Marlins | U |
Giants vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Giants vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+16.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+13.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+6.25 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jesus Luzardo has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 20 of his last 34 games (+6.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Jesus Luzardo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+4.19 Units / 5% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 6-12 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -35.29% ROI).
- 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -29.31% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 18.16% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -25.87% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 6-12 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -40.34% ROI).
- 4-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.95 Units / -49.75% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 17.51% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -25.38% ROI
Marlins vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Marlins vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tim Anderson (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Marlins vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Keaton Winn (SF) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Trevor Rogers (MIA) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (16/25) against Keaton Winn in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 99th Percentile.
Keaton Winn has located his pitches away 66% of the time (31/47) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (26/44) against Keaton Winn this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Keaton Winn has struck out just 12% (5/41) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 10th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Rogers has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to April 14th, 2023 — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 9.
Trevor Rogers has struck out just 10% (5/51) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has allowed a slugging percentage of .700 (14 Total Bases / 20 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .298 — first Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has allowed three-ball counts to 25% of batters they faced (155/628 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 19% — fourth Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Giants are 72-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Giants are just 38-55 (.409) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Giants are just 19-23 (.452) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Giants are 25-14 (.641) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Marlins are 36-15 (.706) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Marlins are 13-154 (.078) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Marlins were 24-3 (.889) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Marlins are 59-11 (.843) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .783.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
The Giants are batting just .241 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have chased 49% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .297 (3,034 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Giants pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 472.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 439.8
Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins pitchers have walked 85 of 731 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Giants vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
