- The Giants are -125 favorites vs the Marlins
- Giants vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Giants / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants (-125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+105) on Sunday, June 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Giants are 32-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 30-26 ATS.
Giants vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Hayden Birdsong 2-1, 2.48 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 1-0, 1.15 ERA
Giants vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +140 | O 7.5 -105 | -125 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -170 | U 7.5 -115 | +105 |
Giants vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+12.45 Units / 138% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.70 Units / 141% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games at home (+10.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.40 Units / 55% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 75% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 31 away games (+1.35 Units / 4% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+6.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+5.75 Units / 12% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 26-32 against the Run Line (-4.55 Units / -6.3% ROI).
- 32-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.19% ROI
- 27-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -9.28% ROI
- 30-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.39% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 30-26 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 1.87% ROI).
- 23-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -2.14% ROI
- 32-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.85 Units / 7.75% ROI
- 24-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -18.14% ROI
Marlins vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Marlins vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Marlins vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .050 (1-for-20) against Hayden Birdsong’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .204 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (10/33) against Hayden Birdsong in two-strike counts this season — 6th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 46% — sixth Percentile.
Hayden Birdsong has allowed three-ball counts to 34% of left-handed batters he faced (87/258 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 0 Percentile.
Hayden Birdsong walked 15% of left-handed batters in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Weathers has pitched 10.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Chris Flexen has the longest active streak at 21.1.
Ryan Weathers has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (393/1,322) against right-handed batters since last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 93rd Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has thrown his changeup 29% of the time (625/2,119) against right-handed batters since the 2023 season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 95th Percentile.
47% of Ryan Weathers’ called strikeouts are inside since the 2023 season — tied for 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 94th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Giants are 157-5 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants are just 54-55 (.495) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Marlins (27th best runs scored) today.
The Giants are 4-21 (.160) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Giants were just 20-24 (.455) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Reds (16th best runs scored) today.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Marlins are just 58-14 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins are just 52-17 (.754) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Giants hitters slugged just .243 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Giants are just 43-66 (.394) against the run line (-24.7% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Marlins (27th best runs scored) today.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .640 (2,567 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 518.2 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.18 (1027.1 IP) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
More MLB Reading:
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