Giants vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 25

Washington Nationals' Luis Garcia hits an RBI single against the Seattle Mariners to score CJ Abrams during the third inning of a baseball game Monday, June 26, 2023, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
  • The Giants are -160 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Giants vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Giants / Nationals TV Channel: MAS2 | NSBA

The San Francisco Giants (-165) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+140) on Sunday, May 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington, DC.

This season, the Giants are 30-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 27-25 ATS.

Giants vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 6-0, 2.69 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 1-2, 5.96 ERA

Giants vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +100O 8 -110-165
Nationals +1.5 -120U 8 -110+140

Giants vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+13.05 Units / 145% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+6.25 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • James Wood has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+8.10 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alex Call has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+6.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+3.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+2.75 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+7.52 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+7.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.45 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+6.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.11 Units / 20% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 25-27 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -0.83% ROI).

  • 30-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 3.72% ROI
  • 27-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 1.51% ROI
  • 24-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -10.77% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 27-25 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -4.1% ROI).

  • 24-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.98 Units / 1.79% ROI
  • 24-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -7.48% ROI
  • 26-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.95% ROI

Nationals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willy Adames (SF) 0.5 +375 0.5 -525
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Nationals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jung-hoo Lee (SF) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Amed Rosario (WAS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
James Wood (WAS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Nationals vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willy Adames (SF) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Jung-hoo Lee (SF) 0.5 +170 0.5 -220
Amed Rosario (WAS) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235

Nationals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Robbie Ray (SF) 6.5 -110 6.5 -118
Michael Soroka (WAS) 5.5 +115 5.5 -155

Opponents are hitting .500 (9-for-18) against Robbie Ray when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .223 — first Percentile.

Robbie Ray has walked 12% of batters this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.

Robbie Ray has a strikeout rate of 40% (23 SO in 58 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.

6 of Robbie Ray’s 24 breaking pitch strikeouts (25%) have been backdoor this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 84th Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mike Soroka walked 13% of batters in the 2024 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Mike Soroka walked 16% of left-handed batters in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of 42% (34 SO in 81 PAs) in late innings since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (24/141) against Mike Soroka since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Giants are 26-156 (.143) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Giants are 10-3 (.769) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .618.

The Giants are 4-18 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .089.

The Giants were just 20-24 (.455) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Reds (16th best runs scored) today.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.

The Nationals are just 158-183 (.462) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Nationals are just 66-97 (.402) after a win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.

The Nationals are just 12-13 (.462) at home this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .563.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.

The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.

Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Giants are batting just .212 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Nationals hitters struck out just 809 times in 4,217 PA’s (19%) against RHP in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Nationals hitters struck out just 1,149 times in 6,085 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .311 against Nationals pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Nationals have allowed 2.15 runs per game (112/52) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.37.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.