- The Pirates are -165 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Giants / Pirates TV Channel: SNPT | NSBA | MLBN
The San Francisco Giants (+135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-165) on Thursday, May 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Giants are 24-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 27-23 ATS.
Giants vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 1-0, 2.70 ERA
Giants vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -150 | O 8 -110 | +135 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -110 | -165 |
Giants vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 21 games (+25.60 Units / 122% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+10.20 Units / 84% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 42 games (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+8.85 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+13.30 Units / 133% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+10.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 23 games at home (+8.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+7.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+6.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 49% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 39 games (+7.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 24-26 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -4.75% ROI).
- 24-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -11.01% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -8.48% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 27-23 against the Run Line (+1.76 Units / 2.6% ROI).
- 23-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -10.38% ROI
- 23-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -5.62% ROI
- 24-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.92 Units / -1.68% ROI
Pirates vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
Pirates vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Luis Matos (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Pirates vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Pirates vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -140 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mason Black has allowed an OPS of 1.078 (58 PA’s) this month (3 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .701 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .353 (18-for-51) against Mason Black this month (3 games) — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .242 — sixth Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .450 against Mason Black this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .254 — first Percentile.
Mason Black has allowed a slugging percentage of .647 (33 Total Bases / 51 ABs) this month (3 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .400 — third Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 86% (6/7) against Paul Skenes — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 46% (18 SO in 39 PAs) this month (2 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents were hitless in 18 AB’s against Paul Skenes — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .214 — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes allowed an OPS of just .053 (19 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .624 — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Giants are 47-7 (.870) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Giants are just 26-29 (.473) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Giants are 31-16 (.660) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Giants are 151-4 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Pirates are just 10-14 (.417) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Pirates are just 129-68 (.655) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Pirates are 48-8 (.857) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
The Pirates are just 154-183 (.457) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .155 with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Giants hitters are slugging just .242 with two-strikes since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Giants hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Giants hitters are slugging just .409 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .495 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .499 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
Pirates hitters have 1,099 strikeouts in 4,379 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Pirates are batting just .152 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 25 of 440 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 112 of 1,879 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,346 of 14,401 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 43% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 25 of 230 batters (11%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The average home run distance against the Pirates pitchers this season is 403.0 feet — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 395.6
Pirates vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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