- The Giants are -105 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Giants vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Giants / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | NSBA | MLBN
The San Francisco Giants (+100) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-120) on Thursday, May 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Giants are 14-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 18-13 ATS.
Giants vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 2-1, 4.14 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Josh Winckowski 1-1, 3.50 ERA
Giants vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -200 | O 9.5 -120 | +100 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +150 | U 9.5 +100 | -120 |
Giants vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Conforto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 away games (+18.40 Units / 131% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 82% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.80 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Connor Wong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games (+15.50 Units / 141% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+13.60 Units / 124% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.95 Units / 39% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 14-17 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -10.19% ROI).
- 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -18.37% ROI
- 14-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -10.5% ROI
- 16-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 1.02% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 18-13 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 6.5% ROI).
- 18-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 12.98% ROI
- 13-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -13.24% ROI
- 16-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 4.82% ROI
Red Sox vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bobby Dalbec (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Red Sox vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Garrett Cooper (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Patrick Bailey (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Red Sox vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Red Sox vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 55% of the time (84/154) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has allowed an OPS of .967 (54 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among in MLB; League Avg: .630 — eighth Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has walked 5 of 137 batters (4%) this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has allowed a slugging percentage of .596 (31 Total Bases / 52 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .364 — fourth Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Division opponents are hitting .562 (9-for-16) against Josh Winckowski this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — first Percentile.
Josh Winckowski has thrown elevated sliders38% of the time (30/80) this season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .284 (196-for-689) against Josh Winckowski since the 2022 season — tied for 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .229 — third Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .368 (14-for-38) against Josh Winckowski this season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .223 — fourth Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Giants are 20-3 (.870) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Giants are 78-1 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Giants are 29-14 (.674) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Giants are just 21-27 (.438) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Red Sox are just 42-55 (.433) after a loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Red Sox are just 3-150 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Red Sox are 36-39 (.480) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Red Sox are just 1-84 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .241 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters are slugging just .375 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Giants hitters are slugging just .399 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .683 (2,124 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .295 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Red Sox hitters have 86 strikeouts in 297 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of 1.390 (209 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.060.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .432 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Giants pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 118 of 1,716 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 13 of 281 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 1.77 (142.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.94.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 77 of 1,150 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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