Giants vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 20

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Kansas City Royals' MJ Melendez bats during the first inning of a baseball game against the Los Angeles Angels Saturday, June 17, 2023, in Kansas City, Mo.
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 20, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Royals are -165 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Giants / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | NSBA

The San Francisco Giants (+140) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-165) on Friday, September 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Giants are 74-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 85-68 ATS.

Giants vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Mason Black 0-4, 7.34 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 13-7, 3.31 ERA

Giants vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -145O 8.5 -110+140
Royals -1.5 +120U 8.5 -110-165

Giants vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 games (+20.00 Units / 143% ROI)
  • Patrick Bailey has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+11.65 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Patrick Bailey has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+9.55 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Patrick Bailey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+8.95 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 48 games (+19.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 38 games (+16.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+13.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+11.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 75 away games (+14.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games (+8.14 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 44 away games (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 34 away games (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 away games (+4.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 76 games at home (+11.24 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 76 games at home (+8.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 76 games at home (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 70 games (+6.44 Units / 8% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 75-78 against the Run Line (-10.3 Units / -5.14% ROI).

  • 74-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -7.78% ROI
  • 78-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 1.55% ROI
  • 69-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.8 Units / -9.95% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 85-68 against the Run Line (+7.48 Units / 3.62% ROI).

  • 82-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 3.29% ROI
  • 67-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.5 Units / -12.34% ROI
  • 80-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 3.32% ROI

Royals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Michael Massey (KC) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Royals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Massey (KC) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Freddy Fermin (KC) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Yuli Gurriel (KC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Patrick Bailey (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Royals vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Michael Massey (KC) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Freddy Fermin (KC) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Royals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Wacha (KC) 5.5 -125 5.5 -105
Mason Black (SF) 3.5 +135 3.5 -175

Mason Black has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to May 6th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Hitters have swung at 73% of Mason Black’s pitches (48/66) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 59% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (8/30) against Mason Black this month (2 games) — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.

Mason Black has a strike rate of 70% (121/172) this month (2 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 96th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Wacha has a strike rate of just 62% (743/1,189) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (11/42) against Michael Wacha this month (3 games) — tied for 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 42% — sixth Percentile.

Michael Wacha has allowed an OPS of .748 (243 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — 16th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (664/1,398) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Giants are just 50-77 (.394) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Giants are just 38-41 (.481) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Giants are 191-6 (.970) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Giants are 126-4 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Royals are just 24-104 (.188) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.

The Royals are just 44-47 (.484) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .626.

The Royals are just 14-76 (.156) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.

Giants hitters have 843 strikeouts in 3,382 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Giants hitters have 1,322 strikeouts in 5,314 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Giants hitters are slugging just .247 with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.

The Giants are batting just .154 with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.

Royals hitters have just 261 strikeouts in 1,363 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,791 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Royals hitters are slugging .250 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .206.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .290 (8,854 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 1,333 of 17,858 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .282 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
  • San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.