- The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Guardians vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / Cardinals TV Channel: BSGL | BSMW
The Cleveland Guardians (-135) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+115) on Saturday, September 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Guardians are 90-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 78-76 ATS.
Guardians vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 2-1, 2.50 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 8-11, 5.53 ERA
Guardians vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -115 | -135 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -105 | +115 |
Guardians vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games (+22.40 Units / 132% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+9.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 44 games (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games at home (+25.50 Units / 127% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+9.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 72 away games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 90 of their last 155 games (+13.82 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 43 away games (+13.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 56% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+4.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+4.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 79-76 against the Run Line (+5.45 Units / 2.79% ROI).
- 90-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.82 Units / 6.88% ROI
- 68-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.15 Units / -10.01% ROI
- 77-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 1.33% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 78-76 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -3.01% ROI).
- 77-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -5.52% ROI
- 70-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.37 Units / -9.71% ROI
- 78-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 0.45% ROI
Cardinals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Luken Baker (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Cardinals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cardinals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -135 |
| Matthew Boyd (CLE) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has 7 three-pitch strikeouts this month (3 games) — tied for 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has allowed a slugging percentage of just .114 (4 Total Bases / 35 ABs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 92nd Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 7 opportunities (0%) this month (3 games) — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 25th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (42/123) against Matthew Boyd this month (3 games) — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 91st Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (104/685) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .362 (46-for-127) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — second Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has an ERA of 5.49 (160.2 IP)this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.66 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .299 (76-for-254) against Miles Mikolas when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — third Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Guardians are 24-29 (.453) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Guardians are 68-2 (.971) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are 79-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Guardians are 40-171 (.190) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Cardinals are 39-20 (.661) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 24-38 (.387) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Cardinals are just 23-29 (.442) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .295 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,401 strikeouts in 12,873 PA’s (19%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are just 44-70 (.373) against the run line (-30.5% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .295 (1,671 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Cardinals are batting .249 with two outs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Cardinals are just 24-38 (-36.7% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 57%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Guardians have allowed 0.86 runs per game (133/155) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Guardians pitchers have walked 5 of 170 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (19 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
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