- The Guardians are -110 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Guardians vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Guardians / Cardinals TV Channel: BSGL | BSMW
The Cleveland Guardians (+100) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-120) on Sunday, September 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Guardians are against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are ATS.
Guardians vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 3-10, 5.10 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 7-8, 3.85 ERA
Guardians vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +170 | O 7.5 -115 | +100 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -210 | U 7.5 -105 | -120 |
Guardians vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 games (+21.40 Units / 119% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 away games (+10.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 45 games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.30 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 21 games at home (+24.50 Units / 117% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 48 games (+10.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+10.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 72 away games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 90 of their last 155 games (+13.82 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 43 away games (+13.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 56% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+4.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+4.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Cardinals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jordan Walker (STL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cardinals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cardinals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams (CLE) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
20 of Gavin Williams’ 71 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 96th Percentile.
10 of Gavin Williams’ 31 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 96th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (6/21) against Gavin Williams this month (4 games) — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — eighth Percentile.
Gavin Williams has struck out just 15% (6/40) of right-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (131/194) against Andre Pallante in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (246/363) against Andre Pallante in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 76% (216/284) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 66% (91/139) against Andre Pallante when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Guardians are 74-2 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Guardians are 68-2 (.971) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Guardians are 87-26 (.770) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Guardians are 63-9 (.875) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Cardinals are just 24-38 (.387) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Cardinals are 39-20 (.661) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 57-63 (.475) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Guardians are batting just .297 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .688 (3,253 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .381 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Cardinals are batting just .238 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .661 (1,693 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Guardians pitchers have walked 6 of 178 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (20 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
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