- The Dodgers are -155 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Guardians / Dodgers TV Channel: BSGL | SNLA | MLBN
The Cleveland Guardians (+130) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) on Saturday, September 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Guardians are 81-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 69-72 ATS.
Guardians vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 3-7, 4.53 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Guardians vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -165 | O 9 -120 | +130 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +140 | U 9 +100 | -155 |
Guardians vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+32.50 Units / 650% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+22.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 49 games (+19.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+13.50 Units / 53% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.30 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 40 games (+23.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+16.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 36 games (+14.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+12.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.00 Units / 67% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 66 away games (+13.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 37 away games (+13.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 81 of their last 141 games (+11.47 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+7.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 44% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 59 games (+13.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+7.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 games (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 71-70 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 1.9% ROI).
- 81-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.47 Units / 6.36% ROI
- 66-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -5.23% ROI
- 67-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -3.59% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 69-72 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -4.47% ROI).
- 84-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -3.98% ROI
- 75-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.8 Units / 3.75% ROI
- 63-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.65 Units / -12.62% ROI
Dodgers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Dodgers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gavin Lux (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Dodgers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .059 (1-for-17) against Gavin Williams when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .241 — 98th Percentile.
Gavin Williams has allowed an OPS of just .382 (44 PA’s) in his last two starts — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .676 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .043 (1-for-23) against Gavin Williams with two-strikes in his last two starts — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .155 — 97th Percentile.
Gavin Williams has allowed an OBP of just .125 (24 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .266 — 97th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Wrobleski allowed an OPS of 1.080 (29 PA’s) in his last start — 5th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .626 — fifth Percentile.
Justin Wrobleski allowed an OBP of .455 (22 PA’s) against right-handed batters in his last start — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .251 — third Percentile.
Opponents batted .370 (10-for-27) against Justin Wrobleski in his last start — 4th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .218 — fourth Percentile.
Justin Wrobleski has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (15/29) over the past seven days (1 games) — 3rd lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 66% — sixth Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Guardians are just 2-52 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Guardians are 61-2 (.968) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Guardians are 24-26 (.480) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Guardians are just 4-52 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Dodgers are 157-27 (.853) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Dodgers are 257-47 (.845) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 57-28 (.671) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Guardians are batting just .284 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Guardians hitters have just 2,302 strikeouts in 12,457 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s since last season (430/11,304) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .333 (3,324 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Dodgers hitters have been successful in 74% of their bunt for hit attempts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .335 (18,009 PA’s) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .446 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Guardians pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .226 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
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