- The Dodgers are -165 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Guardians / Dodgers TV Channel: BSGL | SNLA | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Cleveland Guardians (+140) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) on Sunday, September 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Guardians are 81-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 70-72 ATS.
Guardians vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 11-6, 3.58 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 11-6, 3.02 ERA
Guardians vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -105 | +140 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +130 | U 8.5 -115 | -165 |
Guardians vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+31.50 Units / 525% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+22.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+20.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+14.55 Units / 55% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+14.30 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 41 games (+22.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+14.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 49 games (+13.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+13.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+11.65 Units / 73% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 38 away games (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 67 away games (+13.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 81 of their last 142 games (+10.47 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+6.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 31% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+13.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+10.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+8.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 games (+7.40 Units / 13% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 71-71 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 1.01% ROI).
- 81-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.47 Units / 5.78% ROI
- 66-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -5.2% ROI
- 67-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -3.57% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 70-72 against the Run Line (-6.15 Units / -3.64% ROI).
- 85-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -3.55% ROI
- 75-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.8 Units / 3.72% ROI
- 63-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.65 Units / -12.52% ROI
Dodgers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -210 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Dodgers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Dodgers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Dodgers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee has a strike rate of 76% (308/406) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 70% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .400 against Tanner Bibee on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 10th worst among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP– 11th Percentile. Opponents batted just .268 (15-for-56) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — eighth best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 94th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee in the 2023 season was 379.5 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
15 of Tanner Bibee’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 6th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 90th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 81.9 MPH against his curves since last season (127 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 87.7
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of just .268 (559 PAs) this season — 15th best among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP– 91st Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .370 (649 PAs) last season — tied for 10th worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– sixth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 29% (100/344) against Jack Flaherty since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (66/169) against Jack Flaherty with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Guardians are 61-2 (.968) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Guardians are 24-26 (.480) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Guardians are just 2-52 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Guardians are 71-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .946.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Dodgers are 157-27 (.853) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Dodgers are 57-28 (.671) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Dodgers are 257-47 (.845) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .283 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s since last season (432/11,343) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Dodgers are batting .365 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .447 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
The Dodgers are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .784 (8,461 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Guardians pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .226 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% against Dodgers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Dodgers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
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