- The Padres are -175 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Guardians / Padres TV Channel: GDTV | PDTV
The Cleveland Guardians (+145) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-175) on Tuesday, April 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Guardians are 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 3-1 ATS.
Guardians vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 0-0, 10.14 ERA
Guardians vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 -110 | +145 |
| Padres | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -110 | -175 |
Guardians vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+13.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 10 away games (+10.30 Units / 82% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 away games (+9.85 Units / 97% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 80% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+7.70 Units / 86% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+17.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 166 games (+7.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.60 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 43 games (+3.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 92 games (+22.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games at home (+7.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 137 games (+5.90 Units / 3% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+3.40 Units / 7% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 3-0 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 53.57% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 46.03% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 31.25% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -35.29% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 3-1 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 51.49% ROI).
- 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 92.47% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -26.14% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 16.85% ROI
Padres vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Padres vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Luis Arraez (SD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Padres vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Padres vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael King (SD) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Logan Allen (CLE) | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -160 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen allowed an OPS of .951 (359 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .701 — 0 Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .551 (211 Total Bases / 383 ABs) since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .403 — second Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .574 (182 Total Bases / 317 ABs) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .399 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 54% (26/48) against Logan Allen on elevated fastballs in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.6 MPH (439 batted balls) in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.6 — 100th Percentile.
Michael King has a strikeout rate of 32% (93 SO in 288 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Michael King struck out 32% (107/336) of right-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a miss rate of 36% (90/249) against Michael King when he was behind in the count in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians were just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Guardians were 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Guardians were 50-30 (.625) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Padres were 19-47 (.288) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Padres were 66-8 (.892) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Padres were 29-15 (.659) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Padres were 55-38 (.591) after a win in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Guardians batted just .232 against LHP in 2023 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s since the 2023 season (460/12,175) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 818 strikeouts in 4,614 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters struck out just 799 times in 4,486 PA’s (18%) against RHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters struck out just 1,077 times in 6,103 PA’s (18%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Guardians pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in 2023 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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