- The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Guardians / Red Sox TV Channel: BSGL | NESN | MLBN
The Cleveland Guardians (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-135) on Monday, April 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 11:10am EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Guardians are 9-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 9-6 ATS.
Guardians vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Xzavion Curry 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 0-0, 0.58 ERA
Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -105 | +110 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -115 | -135 |
Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 9-5 against the Run Line (+3.7 Units / 19.68% ROI).
- 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 15.88% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 15.48% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -25.73% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 9-6 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 10.54% ROI).
- 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 5.78% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -3.92% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -3.96% ROI
Red Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Red Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Red Sox vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Red Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Xzavion Curry (CLE) | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -160 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Xzavion Curry has a strikeout rate of just 35% (67 SO in 189 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest among in AL; League Avg: 46% — fifth Percentile.
Xzavion Curry has a strikeout rate of just 17% (67 SO in 404 PAs) since last season — 5th lowest among in AL; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Xzavion Curry struck out just 14% (31/217) of right-handed batters he faced in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among in AL; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Xzavion Curry has a strikeout rate of just 15% (70 SO in 451 PAs) since the 2022 season — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .127 (7 Total Bases / 55 ABs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — 99th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (31/64) this season — 2nd lowest among in AL; League Avg: 63% — fourth Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .069 (2 Total Bases / 29 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .127 (7-for-55) against Kutter Crawford this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 99th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Guardians are just 7-16 (.304) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were just 17-22 (.436) after a home win in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Red Sox are just 1-79 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 3-145 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Red Sox are just 14-21 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Red Sox are 70-4 (.946) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .671 (2,053 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Guardians hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,384 strikeouts in 12,848 PA’s (19%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox batted .182 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .769 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .554.
Red Sox hitters slugged .505 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .261 on pitches out of the zone since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Guardians pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 113 of 1,581 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 2.60 (145.1 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 1.49 (90.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Red Sox vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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