- The Red Sox are -130 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Guardians / Red Sox TV Channel: BSGL | NESN | MLBN
The Cleveland Guardians (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-130) on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Guardians are 12-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 9-9 ATS.
Guardians vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 2-1, 2.00 ERA
Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -105 | +110 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -115 | -130 |
Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Estevan Florial has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 16 away games (+9.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Brayan Rocchio has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+6.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Triston McKenzie has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+10.25 Units / 85% ROI)
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- Kutter Crawford has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kutter Crawford has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.60 Units / 62% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 44 away games (+5.36 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 away games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 12-5 against the Run Line (+6.7 Units / 28.15% ROI).
- 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 28.73% ROI
- 10-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.3 Units / 17.41% ROI
- 6-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -27.03% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 9-9 against the Run Line (-0.75 Units / -3.08% ROI).
- 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -3.74% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -9.48% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 1.79% ROI
Red Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Triston Casas (BOS) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Enmanuel Valdez (BOS) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Red Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Triston Casas (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Enmanuel Valdez (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Gabriel Arias (CLE) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Red Sox vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Triston Casas (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Red Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters had a miss rate of just 15% (23/152) against Ben Lively when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Ben Lively has an ERA of 6.75 (42.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 4.29 — third Percentile.
Ben Lively has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.4 MPH against his fastballs since last season (148 balls in play) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 91.0
Ben Lively had an ERA of 6.75 (42.2 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.27 — third Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Houck has thrown his slider 47% of the time (131/280) this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has walked 2 of 76 batters (3%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has walked 2 of 76 batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among in AL; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has thrown his slider 42% of the time (84/202) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 35-117 (.229) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Guardians are 24-124 (.161) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Red Sox are just 18-31 (.367) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Red Sox are just 1-80 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Red Sox were 64-3 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Red Sox were just 1-74 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting .404 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Guardians hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Guardians batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox batted .182 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Red Sox batted .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Red Sox hitters slugged .266 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Red Sox are batting .272 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.36 (99.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 114 of 1,601 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 1.49 (90.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
The Red Sox have allowed 6.50 runs per game (52/8) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.69.
Red Sox vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Guardians vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
