- The Guardians are -105 favorites vs the Royals
- Guardians vs Royals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / Royals TV Channel: BSGL | BSKC | MLBN
The Cleveland Guardians (-105) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-115) on Monday, September 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Guardians are 78-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 76-62 ATS.
Guardians vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 2-7, 4.96 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 11-6, 3.52 ERA
Guardians vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -115 | -105 |
| Royals | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -105 | -115 |
Guardians vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bo Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+21.00 Units / 105% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+18.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 45 games (+15.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+13.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+12.05 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 50 games (+26.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+14.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 45 games (+10.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 33 away games (+13.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 62 away games (+10.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 78 of their last 137 games (+9.22 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.80 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.50 Units / 58% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+11.34 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games at home (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 games at home (+9.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games at home (+8.95 Units / 9% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 68-69 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 1.12% ROI).
- 78-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.22 Units / 5.24% ROI
- 66-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -3.14% ROI
- 64-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.55 Units / -5.7% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 76-62 against the Run Line (+2.84 Units / 1.52% ROI).
- 75-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.1 Units / 4.66% ROI
- 64-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -7.68% ROI
- 69-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -1.35% ROI
Royals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Paul DeJong (KC) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
Royals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tommy Pham (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Royals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Gavin Williams (CLE) | 5.5 +135 | 5.5 -175 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 27% (102/374) against Gavin Williams since last season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .133 (6 GB hits out of 45 GBs) against Gavin Williams with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 98th Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting just .203 (45-for-222) against Gavin Williams since last season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 92nd Percentile.
Gavin Williams has located his pitches away 54% of the time (671/1,253) vs left-handed batters since last season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 89th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (288/606) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has a strike rate of just 62% (673/1,084) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — sixth Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (911/1,902) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of just .246 (14 Total Bases / 57 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .399 — 93rd Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Guardians are 24-26 (.480) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Guardians are 59-2 (.967) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Guardians are just 2-51 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Guardians are 38-165 (.187) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 24-102 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Royals are just 14-74 (.159) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,555 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters have just 234 strikeouts in 1,264 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Royals vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
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