- The Guardians are -115 favorites vs the Royals
- Guardians vs Royals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / Royals TV Channel: BSGL | BSKC
The Cleveland Guardians (-115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Tuesday, September 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Guardians are 79-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 76-63 ATS.
Guardians vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 10-6, 3.67 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 9-9, 3.36 ERA
Guardians vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -115 | -115 |
| Royals | +1.5 -175 | U 8 -105 | -105 |
Guardians vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bo Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 21 games (+20.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+19.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 46 games (+16.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 24 away games (+14.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+13.20 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 48 games (+22.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+13.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brady Singer has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+9.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 40 games (+9.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 46 games (+9.05 Units / 20% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 34 away games (+12.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 63 away games (+11.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 138 games (+10.22 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.50 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 68 games at home (+10.34 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games at home (+9.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 68 games at home (+8.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 68 games at home (+7.55 Units / 8% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 69-69 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 1.69% ROI).
- 79-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.22 Units / 5.78% ROI
- 66-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -3.84% ROI
- 65-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -4.99% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 76-63 against the Run Line (+1.84 Units / 0.98% ROI).
- 75-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 4% ROI
- 64-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.6 Units / -8.35% ROI
- 70-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -0.69% ROI
Royals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
Royals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Tommy Pham (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Royals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer (KC) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of 32% (75 SO in 234 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (138/391) against Tanner Bibee this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 10th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .447 (96 Total Bases / 215 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — 14th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed an OBP of just .234 (252 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 96th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has allowed an OPS of just .519 (290 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .674 — 98th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 45% of the time (1,126/2,501) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed an OBP of just .240 (288 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 95th Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed an OPS of .865 (351 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .718 — second Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Guardians are 24-26 (.480) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Guardians are 60-2 (.968) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are just 2-51 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Guardians are 14-6 (.700) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Royals are just 24-102 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are 27-44 (.380) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Royals are just 26-116 (.183) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .278 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s since last season (411/11,198) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 952 strikeouts in 5,145 PA’s (18%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have just 234 strikeouts in 1,264 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have just 718 strikeouts in 3,881 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Guardians pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Guardians have allowed 0.89 runs per game (123/138) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Royals have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
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