- The Guardians are -115 favorites vs the Tigers
- Guardians vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Guardians / Tigers TV Channel: BSGL | BSDT | MLBN
The Cleveland Guardians (-125) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+105) on Monday, July 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Guardians are 63-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 55-52 ATS.
Guardians vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 8-4, 3.54 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 7-5, 2.98 ERA
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +145 | O 7 -105 | -125 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -175 | U 7 -115 | +105 |
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 43 games (+57.50 Units / 134% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 23 away games (+16.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+11.45 Units / 164% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colt Keith has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 49 games (+31.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+7.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+7.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 105 games (+13.87 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 60 of their last 105 games (+10.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 91 games (+6.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 20 games (+14.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 90 games (+13.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.15 Units / 18% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 51-54 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -0.39% ROI).
- 63-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.87 Units / 10.14% ROI
- 49-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -5.38% ROI
- 50-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -3.26% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 55-52 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.67% ROI).
- 52-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -4.54% ROI
- 57-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.3 Units / 8.12% ROI
- 43-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.8 Units / -17.32% ROI
Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Bligh Madris (DET) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Justyn-Henry Malloy (DET) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
| Jack Flaherty (DET) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .426 against Tanner Bibee on the first pitch of at-bats this season — eighth worst among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP– sixth Percentile. Opponents batted just .268 (15-for-56) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — eighth best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 94th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of 33% (63 SO in 189 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .171 (44-for-257) against Tanner Bibee’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 89th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed an OBP of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .284 — 96th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (262/790) against Jack Flaherty this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of just .216 (162 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 97th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .284 — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 33% (53 SO in 160 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 19-17 (.528) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Guardians are 10-17 (.370) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Guardians are 46-1 (.979) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Guardians are 25-7 (.781) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are 51-22 (.699) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .622.
The Tigers are just 31-53 (.369) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Tigers are just 27-39 (.409) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Tigers are just 43-57 (.430) after a home win since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s since last season (379/9,971) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,100 strikeouts in 11,468 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (12,143 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .308 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .655 (12,143 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (15,917 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Guardians have allowed 0.73 runs per game (77/105) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Guardians pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have allowed a run 49% of the time after an opposing score this month (22 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 323 of 3,821 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 286 of 3,969 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Shane Bieber (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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