- The Guardians are -165 favorites vs the Tigers
- Guardians vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Guardians / Tigers TV Channel: BSGL | BSDT
The Cleveland Guardians (-135) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+115) on Tuesday, July 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Guardians are 64-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 55-53 ATS.
Guardians vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 0-3, 4.50 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -115 | -135 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -150 | U 8.5 -105 | +115 |
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 44 games (+56.50 Units / 128% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 24 away games (+17.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+11.45 Units / 164% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colt Keith has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 50 games (+30.40 Units / 61% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+7.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 106 games (+14.87 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 61 of their last 106 games (+11.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 51 away games (+9.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 92 games (+7.45 Units / 7% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 91 games (+14.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 21 games (+13.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+6.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 52-54 against the Run Line (+0.6 Units / 0.47% ROI).
- 64-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.87 Units / 10.75% ROI
- 50-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -4.48% ROI
- 50-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -4.18% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 55-53 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -2.54% ROI).
- 52-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -5.31% ROI
- 58-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.3 Units / 8.9% ROI
- 43-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.9 Units / -18.1% ROI
Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Justyn-Henry Malloy (DET) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Holton (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gavin Williams (CLE) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .375 (6-for-16) against Gavin Williams when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — 7th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .223 — seventh Percentile.
Gavin Williams has struck out 36% (10/28) of left-handed batters he faced in his last two starts — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — 94th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (12/39) against Gavin Williams this month (5 games) — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .375 (6-for-16) against Gavin Williams when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 7th highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — 13th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .155 (11-for-71) against Tyler Holton on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .327 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .146 (30-for-205) against Tyler Holton since last season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 98th Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .197 (218 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .313 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .197 (218 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .313 — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 47-1 (.979) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are 52-1 (.981) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Guardians are 10-17 (.370) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Guardians are 58-33 (.637) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are 23-3 (.885) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .759.
The Tigers are just 36-8 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Tigers are 51-22 (.699) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .622.
The Tigers are just 27-39 (.409) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,101 strikeouts in 11,478 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 3,040 strikeouts in 16,171 PA’s (19%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Guardians are batting just .279 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (12,182 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (15,956 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .189 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Guardians have allowed 0.76 runs per game (81/106) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .226 against Guardians pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .225 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 324 of 3,830 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 763 of 10,079 batters (8%) since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Tigers pitchers over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Shane Bieber (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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