- The Tigers are -235 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Guardians / Tigers TV Channel: Roku
The Cleveland Guardians (+230) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-295) on Sunday, May 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 11:35am EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Guardians are 29-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 28-25 ATS.
Guardians vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 2-2, 3.86 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 4-2, 2.87 ERA
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 +110 | O 7 -105 | +230 |
| Tigers | -1.5 -130 | U 7 -115 | -295 |
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 66.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Will Wilson has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 4 games (+5.05 Units / 126% ROI)
- Will Wilson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jhonkensy Noel has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+4.95 Units / 119% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+9.90 Units / 247% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Walks Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 42 games (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.00 Units / 26% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 53 games (+14.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+13.08 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+9.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 52 games (+8.60 Units / 13% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 27-24 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -1.5% ROI).
- 29-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 12.74% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -6.94% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.35% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 28-25 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.59% ROI).
- 33-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 13.29% ROI
- 26-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 1.72% ROI
- 23-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -9.43% ROI
Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Allen (CLE) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 7.5 -135 | 7.5 +105 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of 1.092 (153 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .712 — 0 Percentile.
10 of Logan Allen’s 20 breaking pitch strikeouts (50%) have been backdoor this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 39% (246/631) against Logan Allen this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .647 (88 Total Bases / 136 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .409 — 0 Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal allowed an OBP of just .159 (441 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 71% (630/891) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal allowed an OPS of just .317 (441 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .486 — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 95-3 (.969) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Guardians were 82-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are 101-2 (.981) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are 59-6 (.908) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .745.
The Tigers are 21-69 (.233) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .292 in hitter’s counts since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .579 (281 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters slugged just .377 against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Tigers are batting just .148 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .302 (4,707 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Tigers hitters slugged just .171 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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