- The Guardians are -225 favorites vs the White Sox
- Guardians vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Guardians / White Sox TV Channel: BSGL | NSCH
The Cleveland Guardians (-250) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+200) on Tuesday, September 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Guardians are 82-62 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 58-87 ATS.
Guardians vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 11-9, 4.06 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Jonathan Cannon 3-9, 4.53 ERA
Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -115 | -250 |
| White Sox | +1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -105 | +200 |
Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 72.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+29.50 Units / 369% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+22.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+20.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 29 games (+25.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+16.70 Units / 69% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+16.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 47 games (+13.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.50 Units / 32% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 away games (+16.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 69 away games (+15.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 82 of their last 144 games (+10.47 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+6.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.90 Units / 24% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+4.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+2.35 Units / 47% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 72-72 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 0.72% ROI).
- 82-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.47 Units / 5.68% ROI
- 66-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -6.54% ROI
- 69-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -2.25% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 58-87 against the Run Line (-35.35 Units / -20.76% ROI).
- 33-112 when betting on the Moneyline for -61.3 Units / -41.66% ROI
- 62-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.7 Units / -11.81% ROI
- 73-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 3.45% ROI
White Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
White Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nicky Lopez (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
White Sox vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
White Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Lively (CLE) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Jonathan Cannon (CWS) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
13 of Ben Lively’s 37 breaking pitch strikeouts (35%) have been backdoor this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 98th Percentile.
Ben Lively has an average spin rate of 1994.8 RPM on sliders since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 2424.4 — fourth Percentile.
Ben Lively has allowed a slugging percentage of .598 (101 Total Bases / 169 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .437 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 18% (66/366) against Ben Lively this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 24% — seventh Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (44/129) against Jonathan Cannon on fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
The average home run distance against Jonathan Cannon this season is 382.8 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 397.8
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (4/40) against Jonathan Cannon over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Jonathan Cannon had a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (10/21) in his last start — tied for 4th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — fifth Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 24-28 (.462) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Guardians are just 2-54 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Guardians are 73-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Guardians are 63-2 (.969) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .858.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are just 29-38 (.433) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The White Sox are just 17-55 (.236) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The White Sox are just 71-35 (.670) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The White Sox are just 55-150 (.268) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .281 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of 1.080 (56 PA’s) against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .628.
Guardians hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 25% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (11,215 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,626 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 23% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Guardians pitchers have walked 1 of 69 batters (1%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The White Sox have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The White Sox have won just 12% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
White Sox vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
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