Guardians vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 10

Chicago White Sox's Andrew Benintendi adjusts his helmet while standing on third base during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the Texas Rangers in Phoenix, Monday, Feb. 26, 2024.
(AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
  • The Guardians are -225 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Guardians vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Guardians / White Sox TV Channel: BSGL | NSCH

The Cleveland Guardians (-250) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+200) on Tuesday, September 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Guardians are 82-62 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 58-87 ATS.

Guardians vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 11-9, 4.06 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Jonathan Cannon 3-9, 4.53 ERA

Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians-1.5 -145O 8.5 -115-250
White Sox +1.5 +120U 8.5 -105+200

Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 72.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+29.50 Units / 369% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+22.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+20.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 29 games (+25.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+16.70 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+16.10 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 47 games (+13.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 away games (+16.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 69 away games (+15.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 82 of their last 144 games (+10.47 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+6.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+4.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+2.35 Units / 47% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 72-72 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 0.72% ROI).

  • 82-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.47 Units / 5.68% ROI
  • 66-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -6.54% ROI
  • 69-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -2.25% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 58-87 against the Run Line (-35.35 Units / -20.76% ROI).

  • 33-112 when betting on the Moneyline for -61.3 Units / -41.66% ROI
  • 62-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.7 Units / -11.81% ROI
  • 73-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 3.45% ROI

White Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Lane Thomas (CLE) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

White Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Lane Thomas (CLE) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Nicky Lopez (CWS) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

White Sox vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Lane Thomas (CLE) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225

White Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ben Lively (CLE) 4.5 -115 4.5 -115
Jonathan Cannon (CWS) 3.5 +100 3.5 -135

13 of Ben Lively’s 37 breaking pitch strikeouts (35%) have been backdoor this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 98th Percentile.

Ben Lively has an average spin rate of 1994.8 RPM on sliders since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 2424.4 — fourth Percentile.

Ben Lively has allowed a slugging percentage of .598 (101 Total Bases / 169 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .437 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 18% (66/366) against Ben Lively this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 24% — seventh Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (44/129) against Jonathan Cannon on fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

The average home run distance against Jonathan Cannon this season is 382.8 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 397.8

Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (4/40) against Jonathan Cannon over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.

Jonathan Cannon had a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (10/21) in his last start — tied for 4th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — fifth Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Guardians are 24-28 (.462) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Guardians are just 2-54 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Guardians are 73-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Guardians are 63-2 (.969) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .858.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The White Sox are just 29-38 (.433) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.

The White Sox are just 17-55 (.236) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The White Sox are just 71-35 (.670) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The White Sox are just 55-150 (.268) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Guardians are batting just .281 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.

Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of 1.080 (56 PA’s) against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .628.

Guardians hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 25% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (11,215 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,626 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 23% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Guardians pitchers have walked 1 of 69 batters (1%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Guardians pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The White Sox have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The White Sox have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The White Sox have won just 12% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

White Sox pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

White Sox vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported
  • Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.