- The Guardians are -225 favorites vs the White Sox
- Guardians vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / White Sox TV Channel: BSGL | NSCH | MLBN
The Cleveland Guardians (-225) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+180) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Guardians are 83-62 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 58-88 ATS.
Guardians vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 2-1, 2.20 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin 0-3, 3.32 ERA
Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -2.5 +105 | O 8 -120 | -225 |
| White Sox | +2.5 -130 | U 8 +100 | +180 |
Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 74.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+28.50 Units / 317% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+20.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Tyler Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+11.25 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 30 games (+24.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+16.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+15.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 48 games (+14.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+11.80 Units / 22% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 away games (+16.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 41 away games (+15.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 83 of their last 145 games (+11.47 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+7.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 27% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+1.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 73-72 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 1.26% ROI).
- 83-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.47 Units / 6.15% ROI
- 66-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -7.18% ROI
- 70-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -1.61% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 58-88 against the Run Line (-36.35 Units / -21.23% ROI).
- 33-113 when betting on the Moneyline for -62.3 Units / -42.05% ROI
- 62-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.8 Units / -12.42% ROI
- 74-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 4.06% ROI
White Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
White Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
White Sox vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd (CLE) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Davis Martin (CWS) | 4.5 +155 | 4.5 -200 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has allowed an OPS of just .278 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — 6th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .669 — 94th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd’s has 14 strikeouts and no walks in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB K:BB ratio over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.6 — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has not walked any of the 43 batters that he has faced in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has allowed an OBP of just .107 (28 PA’s) with two-strikes in his last two starts — tied for 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .223 — 94th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 26 ABs ending on a two-strike breaking pitch from Davis Martin. — Josh Hader has the longest active streak at 37.
Davis Martin has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.1 innings pitched — Brusdar Graterol has the longest active streak at 29.2.
Davis Martin had a strike rate of just 59% (51/86) in his last start — 7th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Davis Martin has a strike rate of just 59% (51/86) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 84-25 (.771) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Guardians are 70-2 (.972) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Guardians are just 2-54 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Guardians are 48-34 (.585) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are just 1-14 (.067) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The White Sox are just 77-71 (.520) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The White Sox are just 9-46 (.164) after a home loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The White Sox are just 29-38 (.433) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Guardians are batting just .286 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Guardians hitters have just 2,326 strikeouts in 12,583 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters are slugging .688 against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .284 (8,617 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 23% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 24% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .648 (8,617 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Guardians pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .226 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 1% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 577 of 5,640 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox have won just 12% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
White Sox vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
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